Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz).

: LaLiga - Round 36
Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	0.61
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
73% (245/336)	82% (394/478)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.99	0.22
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
15	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	16
Passes
73% (245/336)	82% (394/478)
Long passes
27% (13/49)	45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
58% (54/93)	62% (48/78)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	0.76
Throw-ins
17	20
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
70% (7/10)	50% (2/4)
Duels won
33	39
Clearances
21	24
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.22	1.99
Goals prevented
0.22	0.99

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Duro H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Guridi J. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
65', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
65', Lopez D. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
69', Garces F. 🟨,
75', Mamardashvili G. 🟨,
78', Rioja L. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Joan Jordan (Pen),
84', Blanco A. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
84', Mir R. ↓, Canos S. ↑,
84', Diakhaby M. ↓, Aarons M. ↑,
90', Alena C. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
90', Garcia K. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
90+2', Protesoni C. 🟨,
90+4', Mourino S. 🟨,
90+6', Joan Jordan 🟨,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Alavés
41.6%

Draw
32.9%

Valencia
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

31.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Deportivo Alavés - Valencia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.09)	2.93 ↓ (3.3)	3.75 ↓ (3.92)	3.9% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Valencia?

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 32 - 59.3%). Valencia will win (votes: 8 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 46.2% – 72.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Alavés (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 3.
Recent performances by Alavés have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Valencia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Alavés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Alavés will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Alavés: Abqar A. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Valencia: Almeida A. (Concussion) Correia T. (Knee Injury) Foulquier D. (Injury) Guerra J. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Valencia?

Deportivo Alavés has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Deportivo Alavés?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Valencia were as follows:

22.12.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 2:2

24.07.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 0:1

05.05.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 0:1

02.09.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Valencia 1:0

29.07.2023 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 2:0

Latest results of Deportivo Alavés

11.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 0:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Valencia

10.05.2025 Valencia - Getafe 3:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Las Palmas - Valencia 2:3 ✺

22.04.2025 Valencia - Espanyol 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Valencia - Sevilla 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Valencia?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	Aio Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online