Utrecht vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Utrecht - Lyon
Result
0:1
25/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)
Utrecht - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.00
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
70% (210/298)84% (432/512)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.90
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
70% (210/298)84% (432/512)
Long passes
48% (32/67)61% (28/46)
Passes in final third
62% (54/87)65% (72/110)
Crosses
16% (3/19)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.70
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1914
Tackles
75% (9/12)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5354
Clearances
2332
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.900.78
Goals prevented
-0.100.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Jans R. 🟨,
  • 31', Fonseca P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Sulc P. 🟨,
  • 65', Tagliafico N. , Maitland-Niles A. ,
  • 65', Fofana M. , Moreira A. ,
  • 65', Karabec A. , Ghezzal R. ,
  • 65', Morton T. , Tessmann T. ,
  • 67', Clinton Mata 🟨,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Tessmann T. , Ghezzal R. (A),
  • 75', Tessmann T. 🟨,
  • 80', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
  • 80', Vesterlund N. , Min D. ,
  • 80', Murkin D. , Blake A. ,
  • 84', Engwanda A. 🟨,
  • 89', Viergever N. , Eerdhuijzen M. ,
  • 90+3', Sulc P. , Merah K. ,
  • 90+5', El Karouani S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Utrecht
33.3%
Draw
29%
Lyon
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 25.8% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 25.5% 46.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Utrecht - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (3.33)
    3.36
    (3.66)
    2.53
    (2.06)
    3.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Utrecht - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). Lyon will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 57%84%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Lyon (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Utrecht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lyon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y. (Inactive) Demircan E. (Injury) El Arguioui R. (Knee Injury) Finnsson K. (Inactive) Jensen V. (Muscle Injury) Ohio N. (Inactive) de Wit D. (Foot Injury) van den Berg D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Groin Injury) Descamps R. (Wrist Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tolisso C. (Red Card)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Utrecht
    20.09.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht 1:0
    14.09.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 0:1
    31.08.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 0:2
    28.08.2025 Utrecht - Zrinjski Mostar 0:0
    24.08.2025 Utrecht - Excelsior 4:1
    Latest results of Lyon
    19.09.2025 Lyon - Angers 1:0
    14.09.2025 Rennes - Lyon 3:1
    31.08.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0
    16.08.2025 Lens - Lyon 0:1
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Utrecht - Lyon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport 4
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4, VRT Canvas
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
    bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 3
    denmarkDenmarkDisney+
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
    germanyGermanyRTL+
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 3
    portugalPortugalDAZN 3
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
    swedenSwedenDisney+
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldVIX App
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