Unión La Calera vs Universidad de Chile: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile
Result
0:4
28/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 17
Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.232.13
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
415
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
75% (201/267)89% (563/633)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.232.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.182.87
Total shots
415
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
05
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
314
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
735
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
127
Passes
75% (201/267)89% (563/633)
Long passes
54% (33/61)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
51% (39/76)81% (116/144)
Crosses
27% (3/11)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.181.46
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
712
Tackles
65% (11/17)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5137
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.870.18
Goals prevented
-1.130.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 11', Monreal D. 🟥,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Assadi L. ,
  • 22', 0 - 2, Hormazabal F. , Altamirano J. (A),
  • 24', Guerrero Pena M. G. , Guerra N. ,
  • 34', Poblete Zuniga I. E. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 3, Contreras R. , Assadi L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Poblete Zuniga I. E. , Moya F. ,
  • 46', Zaldivia M. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 46', Benegas L. , Mendez K. ,
  • 46', Moya C. , Tomarelli F. ,
  • 58', Calderon F. 🟨,
  • 61', Contreras R. , Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ,
  • 62', Saez S. 🟨,
  • 63', Alvarez Wallace A. 🟨,
  • 65', Saez S. , Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ,
  • 76', 0 - 4, Altamirano J. , Assadi L. (A),
  • 80', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 🟨,
  • 81', Altamirano J. , Salomoni F. ,
  • 81', De Los Santos E. , Soto J. ,
  • 87', Alvarez Wallace A. , Lobos F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión La Calera
14%
Draw
22.8%
Universidad de Chile
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 24.9% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5% 24.1% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.
  • Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.11
    (4.93)
    4.88
    (3.77)
    1.67
    (1.68)
    -7.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
    • Recent form of Unión La Calera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Universidad de Chile is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Universidad de Chile is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera 1:0
    05.10.2024 Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera 1:0
    13.05.2024 Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile 1:3
    25.08.2023 Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile 2:1
    02.03.2023 Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera 1:1
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Latest results of Universidad de Chile
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo23175136:122456
    2O'Higgins23118429:26341
    3A. Italiano23124739:33640
    4U. Catolica22116534:221239
    5Palestino23116630:21939
    6U. De Chile21122744:222238
    7Cobresal23115730:26438
    8Colo Colo2287732:26631
    9Huachipato23941034:34031
    10Nublense2278723:28-529
    11Union La Calera23751119:24-526
    12Everton22571024:32-822
    13La Serena22541325:41-1619
    14Limache23461325:35-1018
    15U. Espanola23521624:44-2017
    16Deportes Iquique22351423:45-2214

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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