Result
0:2
05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHILE: Liga de Primera - Round 4
- Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (290/369) | 71% (207/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (290/369) | 71% (207/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (40/60) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (94/142) | 63% (61/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
- 16', Contreras K. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Sepulveda M. ⚽, Castellon G. (A),
- 34', Altamirano J. 🟨,
- 37', Di Yorio L. 🟨,
- 38', Di Yorio L. 🟨,
- 44', Ramirez S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Altamirano J. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
- 46', Contreras K. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez S. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
- 70', Jauregui B. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
- 70', Alarcon R. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
- 73', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez L. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
- 85', Ramirez N. 🟨,
- 87', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
- 90', Diaz M. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Assadi L. ⚽, Montes G. (A),
Chances of winning
Unión Española
16.8% | Draw
21.9% | Universidad de Chile
61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Española's form might have worsened.Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-16.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Española - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.46 ↑
(3.42) |
4.22 ↑
(3.27) |
1.58 ↓
(2.11) |
5.5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Unión Española - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 1.
- Unión Española is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Universidad de Chile is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Universidad de Chile is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 18:29 (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against Universidad de Chile?
Unión Española has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Unión Española?
Universidad de Chile has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Española - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
27.08.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Unión Española
2:0
07.04.2024
Unión Española
-
Universidad de Chile
0:1
20.01.2024
Unión Española
-
Universidad de Chile
0:4
17.07.2023
Unión Española
-
Universidad de Chile
3:0
28.01.2023
Universidad de Chile
-
Unión Española
1:0
Latest results of Unión Española
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19:7 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 22 |
| 8 | Union La Calera | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15:11 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colo Colo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | La Serena | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | Nublense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 | Limache | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
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