Defensa y Justicia vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.03
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
82% (423/514)68% (178/261)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.24
Total shots
218
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
3715
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
85
Passes
82% (423/514)68% (178/261)
Long passes
62% (37/60)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
71% (134/189)62% (48/78)
Crosses
31% (11/35)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.36
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
58
Tackles
69% (9/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
2756
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.241.06
Goals prevented
0.240.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Cannavo E. , Osorio A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Jhon Chancellor , Diaz M. (A),
  • 61', Fajardo J. 🟨,
  • 66', Perez C. , Miranda M. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez F. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 68', Palacios B. , Londono A. ,
  • 76', Diaz M. , Troya R. ,
  • 77', Diaz I. , Romero Padilla D. A. ,
  • 77', Gutierrez K. , Sosa S. ,
  • 87', Osorio A. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez L. , Molinas A. ,
  • 89', Cannavo E. 🟨,
  • 89', Londono A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fajardo J. , Castillo Saa J. L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
54.2%
Draw
25.7%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 25.5% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 25.9% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.7)
    3.67
    (3.65)
    4.64
    (4.7)
    6.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Defensa y Justicia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Defensa y Justicia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Defensa y Justicia 3:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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