Cerro Largo vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Result
1:3
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)
Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.90
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
68% (194/286)83% (378/456)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.182.20
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
68% (194/286)83% (378/456)
Long passes
29% (17/58)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
40% (32/81)69% (64/93)
Crosses
17% (3/18)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.77
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
1412
Tackles
71% (12/17)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4652
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.201.18
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Lara J. (A),
  • 27', Assis S. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Diaz I. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
  • 35', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
  • 40', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
  • 43', Londono A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia A. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
  • 46', Brasil M. ↓, Di Pippa A. ↑,
  • 46', Peraza F. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
  • 46', Mir M. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
  • 46', Assis S. ↓, Otormin L. ↑,
  • 60', Correa L. 🟨,
  • 61', Anasco M. 🟨,
  • 66', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
  • 73', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
  • 87', 0 - 3, Diaz I. ⚽,
  • 90', Cacciabue J. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
  • 90+1', Londono A. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Moreno L. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Anasco M. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
37.5%		Draw
30.4%		Universidad Católica del Ecuador
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 30.2% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.9% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
    •

    Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.51 ↓
    (2.65)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.1)    		 2.93 ↑
    (2.71)    		 6.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Cerro Largo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerro Largo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cerro Largo 3:1
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    03.05.2025 Cerro Largo - Plaza Colonia 2:1
    28.04.2025 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Vitória Salvador - Cerro Largo 0:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Boston River - Cerro Largo 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
    03.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:1 ✺
    24.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Defensa y Justicia 3:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 2:0 ✺
    15.04.2025 SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1 ✺
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ESPN South
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
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