Gimnasia La Plata vs Unión Santa Fe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe
Result
1:3
14/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.55
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
81% (330/405)69% (216/315)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.992.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
138
Passes
81% (330/405)69% (216/315)
Long passes
63% (29/46)29% (22/76)
Passes in final third
59% (55/93)55% (55/100)
Crosses
33% (8/24)9% (2/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.84
Throw-ins
1226
Fouls
813
Tackles
65% (11/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4934
Clearances
2820
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.230.99
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Suso G. 🟨,
  • 41', Garayalde N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Briasco N. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 47', 0 - 1, Del Blanco M. , Tarragona C. (A),
  • 48', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Torres M. , Seoane M. (A),
  • 57', 1 - 2, Tarragona C. ,
  • 62', 1 - 3, Martinez M. ,
  • 64', Garayalde N. , Castro L. ,
  • 64', Merlo J. , Merlini B. ,
  • 64', Panaro M. , Sosa A. ,
  • 73', Palacios J. , Solari A. ,
  • 73', Estigarribia M. , Gamba L. ,
  • 74', Silva Torrejon P. , Perez J. ,
  • 79', Vargas L. 🟨,
  • 82', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
  • 83', Tarragona C. , Colazo A. ,
  • 83', Fragapane F. , Alvarez E. ,
  • 88', Martinez M. , Profini R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
28.3%
Draw
32.9%
Unión Santa Fe
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 31.9% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 31.3% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.38)
    2.9
    (2.94)
    2.48
    (3.28)
    5.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Unión will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Briasco N. (Muscle Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Unión: Pitton B. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    28.10.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 2:3
    04.06.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe944115:8716
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    4Boca Juniors935112:6614
    5Central Cordoba935112:8414
    6Banfield94149:13-413
    7Belgrano93339:7212
    8Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    9Tigre93338:7112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    10Instituto92435:11-610
    11Platense82338:11-39
    12San Martin S.J92346:9-39
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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