Unión Santa Fe vs Belgrano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano
Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.82
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
82% (292/358)78% (300/386)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.39
Total shots
156
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2615
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
156
Passes
82% (292/358)78% (300/386)
Long passes
51% (27/53)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
67% (75/112)61% (54/89)
Crosses
14% (3/22)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.93
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
615
Tackles
50% (5/10)50% (11/22)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
3732
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.390.49
Goals prevented
-0.61-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. , Jara F. (A),
  • 33', Martinez M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Gamba L. , Estigarribia M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Grillo F. , Ostchega T. ,
  • 46', Menossi L. , Hernandes R. ,
  • 65', Del Blanco M. , Fragapane F. ,
  • 70', Palacios J. , Ham E. ,
  • 71', Estigarribia M. , Diaz D. ,
  • 71', Jara F. , Passerini L. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez F. , Quignon F. ,
  • 81', Hernandes R. 🟨,
  • 83', Martinez M. , Verde L. ,
  • 87', Fernandez N. , Mavilla J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
41.7%
Draw
29.7%
Belgrano
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 29.4% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 29.5% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.84)
    3.19
    (3.19)
    3.3
    (2.51)
    5.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0.
    • Unión has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Belgrano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Unión has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Unión: Colazo A. (Inactive) Luduena J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Espinola J. (Inactive) Lucco J. (Hamstring Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe 1:1
    06.04.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 1:2
    12.11.2023 Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe 4:1
    08.04.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 0:3
    18.01.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 0:2
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Belgrano
    22.04.2025 Tigre - Belgrano 0:0
    16.04.2025 Belgrano - Real Pilar 3:1
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Argentinos JrsInstituto3 : 1
    2San LorenzoTigre2 : 1
    3River PlateBarracas Central
    4Racing ClubPlatense0 : 1
    5Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.2 : 0
    6HuracanDep. Riestra3 : 2
    7Boca JuniorsLanus1 : 0
    8IndependienteInd. Rivadavia1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Argentinos JrsSan Lorenzo
    2TBD #3Platense
    3Rosario CentralHuracan
    4Boca JuniorsIndependiente

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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