Unión Española vs Unión La Calera: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile).

: Liga de Primera - Round 16
Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.69
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
12	3
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	2
Passes
77% (246/321)	78% (319/408)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	0.97
Total shots
12	3
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
5	0
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	2
Touches in opposition box
28	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
15	6
Passes
77% (246/321)	78% (319/408)
Long passes
68% (47/69)	49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
59% (65/110)	57% (43/75)
Crosses
22% (8/37)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.56	0.42
Throw-ins
21	23
Fouls
6	15
Tackles
44% (8/18)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
53	43
Clearances
17	39
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.97	1.56
Goals prevented
-0.03	-1.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Pereira S. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Benegas L. ⚽, Saez S. (A),
22', Yanez F. 🟨,
45+1', Saez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pereira S. ↓, Vidal V. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Contreras K. ⚽, Espinoza F. (A),
56', Benegas L. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
56', De Los Santos E. ↓, Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↑,
57', Yanez F. ↓, Saldias J. ↑,
61', Ulloa D. 🟨,
63', Ovelar F. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
65', Brunet N. 🟥,
69', 2 - 1, Jeraldino I. ⚽,
72', Moya C. 🟨,
75', Uribe A. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
76', Espinoza F. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
81', Jeraldino I. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Aranguiz P. ⚽, Huerta R. (A),
85', Moya C. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
86', Saez S. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
87', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Unión Española
38.4%

Draw
29.1%

Unión La Calera
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Unión Española - Unión La Calera Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.52)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	2.89 ↑ (2.74)	6.6% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Unión Española - Unión La Calera?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Unión La Calera will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 2.
Unión Española is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Unión La Calera's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Unión La Calera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against Unión La Calera?

Unión Española has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Unión Española?

Unión La Calera has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Española - Unión La Calera were as follows:

17.02.2025 Unión La Calera - Unión Española 4:0

20.10.2024 Unión La Calera - Unión Española 0:2

07.06.2024 Unión Española - Unión La Calera 0:1

24.11.2023 Unión La Calera - Unión Española 4:0

09.05.2023 Unión Española - Unión La Calera 3:2

Latest results of Unión Española

05.07.2025 Unión Española - Universidad de Chile 0:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Unión Española - Coquimbo Unido 0:2 ✺

15.06.2025 OHiggins - Unión Española 1:0 ✺

07.06.2025 Deportes Melipilla - Unión Española 1:0 ✺

03.06.2025 Unión Española - Deportes Limache 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Unión La Calera

02.07.2025 Unión La Calera - Coquimbo Unido 1:4 ✺

20.06.2025 Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica 1:1 ✺

13.06.2025 Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera 0:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Coquimbo Unido - Unión La Calera 2:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo 0:1 ✺

Chilean Primera Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coquimbo	16	10	5	1	23:8	15	35
2	A. Italiano	15	10	2	3	28:18	10	32
3	U. De Chile	15	10	1	4	33:14	19	31
4	Palestino	15	8	4	3	22:14	8	28
5	O'Higgins	15	7	5	3	15:15	0	26
6	U. Catolica	15	7	4	4	22:14	8	25
7	Colo Colo	16	7	3	6	26:18	8	24
8	Cobresal	15	6	5	4	19:18	1	23
9	Union La Calera	16	6	4	6	16:14	2	22
10	Huachipato	15	5	3	7	20:23	-3	18
11	La Serena	16	5	2	9	20:29	-9	17
12	Nublense	15	3	7	5	14:22	-8	16
13	Everton	16	3	6	7	15:25	-10	15
14	Limache	16	3	5	8	17:23	-6	14
15	U. Espanola	16	3	1	12	15:30	-15	10
16	Deportes Iquique	16	1	3	12	16:36	-20	6

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

Which TV channels are streaming of Unión Española - Unión La Calera?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: