Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Wolfsburg
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
Union Berlin - Wolfsburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.79
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
74% (236/321)78% (301/388)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.23
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2222
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
74% (236/321)78% (301/388)
Long passes
42% (27/64)53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
64% (63/99)60% (75/124)
Crosses
25% (6/24)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.83
Fouls
1314
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5451
Clearances Total
4140
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.230.98
Goals prevented
0.23-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Ilic A. , Ljubicic M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 1 - 0, Hollerbach B. , Querfeld L. (A),
  • 73', Maehle J. , Tomas T. ,
  • 77', Gerhardt Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Hollerbach B. , Skarke T. ,
  • 79', Trimmel C. , Roussillon J. ,
  • 85', Vranckx A. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 85', Amoura M. , Behrens K. ,
  • 90', Haberer J. , Tousart L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Union Berlin 41.7%Draw 28.4%Wolfsburg 29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Union Berlin 38.4%Draw 28.6%Wolfsburg 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Union Berlin 38.6%Draw 28.5%Wolfsburg 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.31
(2.5)
3.38
(3.36)
3.22
(2.92)
4%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Wolfsburg?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 2.
    • Recent matches Union Berlin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wolfsburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Union Berlin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Koulierakis K. (Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Heel Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury) Vavro D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Bornauw S. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Wolfsburg were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:0
    10.02.2024 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    16.09.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 2:1
    12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1
    31.01.2023 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 2:1
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1
    01.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 1:2
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 31236290:296175
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 311910266:353167
    3Eintracht Frankfurt31167862:422055
    4Freiburg311561044:47-351
    5RB Leipzig311310848:42649
    6Dortmund311461160:491148
    7Mainz311381048:39947
    8Werder Bremen311371148:54-646
    9B. Monchengladbach311351351:50144
    10Augsburg3111101033:42-943
    11Stuttgart311181256:51541
    12Wolfsburg311091253:48539
    13Union Berlin31991331:45-1436
    14St. Pauli31871626:36-1031
    15Hoffenheim31791540:58-1830
    16Heidenheim31742033:60-2725
    17Holstein Kiel31571945:74-2922
    18Bochum31562030:63-3321

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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