Saint-Gilloise vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin
Result
3:0
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)
Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
28.3%
Draw
31.6%
Union Berlin
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 26.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 26.9% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.81)
    3.06
    (3.51)
    2.4
    (2.37)
    3.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 17.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 32 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 34.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 35.8%59.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (39%), a small chance of semis (11%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Union Berlin has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (61%), a chance of semis (25%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
    • This event has quality 64, importance 65, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Union SG have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Vertessen Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Khedira R. (Muscle Injury) Schafer A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D. (Injury) Sykes R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Giesselmann N. (Illness)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Union SG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 3:3
    03.11.2022 Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin 0:1
    08.09.2022 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 0:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1
    04.03.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 0:0
    23.02.2023 Union Berlin - Ajax 3:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadMidtjylland
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3AEK LarnacaLegia
    4CFR ClujBraga
    5ServetteUtrecht
    6HackenBrann
    7PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita
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