Augsburg vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Augsburg - Union Berlin
Result
1:2
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
Augsburg - Union Berlin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.22
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
85% (516/604)74% (262/355)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.251.97
Total shots
196
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2810
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
56
Passes
85% (516/604)74% (262/355)
Long passes
65% (33/51)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
70% (105/150)53% (39/73)
Crosses
32% (6/19)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.29
Throw-ins
3425
Fouls
65
Tackles
77% (10/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4338
Clearances
1932
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.971.25
Goals prevented
-0.03-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Tietz P. , Matsima C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Wolf M. , Gumny R. ,
  • 59', Claude-Maurice A. , Maier A. ,
  • 61', Juranovic J. , Trimmel C. ,
  • 61', Preu D. , Ilic A. ,
  • 61', Schafer A. , Tousart L. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Ilic A. ,
  • 71', Komur M. , Mounie S. ,
  • 80', Onyeka F. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 80', Zesiger C. , Jensen F. ,
  • 80', Skarke T. , Ljubicic M. ,
  • 88', Hollerbach B. , Benes L. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Ilic A. , Khedira R. (A),

Chances of winning


Augsburg
49.4%
Draw
26.1%
Union Berlin
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.4% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.7% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg's performance.
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Augsburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Augsburg - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.2)
    3.7
    (3.37)
    3.92
    (3.43)
    3.5%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Augsburg - Union Berlin?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.
    • Augsburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Union Berlin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Augsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Berisha M. (Injury) Essende S. (Red Card) Kabadayi Y. (Knee Injury) Oxford R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Leite D. (Neck Injury) Roussillon J. (Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Kucuksahin M. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Union Berlin were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Union Berlin - Augsburg 0:2
    12.04.2024 Augsburg - Union Berlin 2:0
    25.11.2023 Union Berlin - Augsburg 1:1
    06.05.2023 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:0
    07.01.2023 Augsburg - Union Berlin 0:1
    Latest results of Augsburg
    11.05.2025 Stuttgart - Augsburg 4:0
    04.05.2025 Augsburg - Holstein Kiel 1:3
    12.04.2025 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1HeidenheimElversberg2 : 1, 2 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Augsburg - Union Berlin?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
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