Ukraine vs France, FIFA World Cup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA World Cup Ukraine - France
Result
0:2
05/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Championship - Qualification
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
Ukraine - France - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.272.13
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (353/408)89% (478/538)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.272.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.312.51
Total shots
816
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1129
Accurate through passes
14
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
710
Passes
87% (353/408)89% (478/538)
Long passes
57% (25/44)59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
73% (54/74)78% (143/184)
Crosses
6% (1/16)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.82
Throw-ins
1421
Fouls
108
Tackles
73% (16/22)79% (15/19)
Duels won
4046
Clearances
1915
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.510.31
Goals prevented
0.510.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Olise M. , Barcola B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Doue D. , Dembele O. ,
  • 76', Zubkov O. , Nazarenko O. ,
  • 76', Dovbyk A. , Vanat V. ,
  • 76', Barcola B. , Rabiot A. ,
  • 81', Dembele O. , Ekitike H. ,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. , Tchouameni A. (A),
  • 82', Sudakov G. , Bondarenko A. ,
  • 82', Yarmolyuk Y. , Ocheretko O. ,
  • 87', Zinchenko O. , Voloshyn N. ,
  • 90+2', Kounde J. , Gusto M. ,
  • 90+2', Olise M. , Akliouche M. ,

Chances of winning


Ukraine
10.5%
Draw
18.8%
France
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.9% 21.2% 66.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ukraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Ukraine - France Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.14
    (7.91)
    5
    (4.44)
    1.36
    (1.41)
    4.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Ukraine - France?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). France will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for France: 59.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 1 - 33.3%). France (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Tarczynski Arena.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 1.
    • In this match, France is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Ukraine: Lunin A. (Back Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sych O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in France: Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Saliba W. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in France: Dembele O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
    Latest results of Ukraine
    10.06.2025 New Zealand - Ukraine 1:2
    07.06.2025 Canada - Ukraine 4:2
    23.03.2025 Belgium - Ukraine 3:0
    20.03.2025 Ukraine - Belgium 3:1
    19.11.2024 Albania - Ukraine 1:2
    Latest results of France
    08.06.2025 Germany - France 0:2
    05.06.2025 Spain - France 5:4
    23.03.2025 France - Croatia 3:0
    20.03.2025 Croatia - France 2:0
    17.11.2024 Italy - France 1:3
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

          Promotion ~ World Championship
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Ukraine - France?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceMolotov TV, TF 1, TF1+
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, SportKlub 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
    turkeyTurkeyExxen
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
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