Trefelin vs Gap Connahs Quay: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Welsh FA Cup Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay
Result
1:2
16/11/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: FA Cup - 1/16-finals
Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Nash B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 2, Maher B. ,
  • 77', Goldsworthy C. 🟥,
  • 78', Nash B. 🟥,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Clarke J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Trefelin
11.4%
Draw
18%
Gap Connahs Quay
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.4% 20.1% 67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4% 16.2% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.98
    (7.32)
    5.04
    (4.5)
    1.28
    (1.34)
    10.2%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Latest results of Trefelin
    12.11.2024 Caerau Ely - Trefelin 2:0
    08.11.2024 Goytre United - Trefelin 1:3
    02.11.2024 Trefelin - Cambrian United 5:2
    25.10.2024 Afan Lido - Trefelin 0:0
    12.10.2024 Trefelin - Carmarthen Town 2:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1HolywellBye
    2RhostyllenNefyn United5 : 2
    3St. AsaphBangor 18760 : 6
    4ByeGuilsfield
    5Bow StreetCefn Albion4 : 2
    6ByeFlint
    7Caersws FCHawarden Rangers6 : 1
    8Dolgellau AthleticQueens Park8 : 3
    9PorthmadogDenbigh3 : 2
    10ByeBuckley
    11Saltney TownGresford3 : 7
    12LlanrugRuthin4 : 3
    13LlandudnoBye
    14ByeFlint Mountain
    15Llanfair UnitedKinmel Bay1 : 2
    16ByeColwyn Bay
    17PwllheliRhyl1 : 3
    18BrickfieldNFA3 : 1
    19HolyheadForden Utd4 : 0
    20ByeAirbus
    21BalaBye
    22ByeConnahs Q.
    23Broughton UtdWelshpool2 : 1
    24Berriew FCTrearddur Bay0 : 3
    25Mold AlexandraBye
    26ByeTNS
    27NewtownBye
    28ByeCaernarfon
    29LlannefyddLlanberis5 : 1
    30PenrhyncochSychdyn Utd2 : 0
    31Cwmbach RoyalGarden Village3 : 4
    32Tredegar TownGlynneath Town1 : 3
    33Dinas PowysAfan United3 : 1
    34Cardiff DraconiansCwmbran Celtic4 : 2
    35LlwydcoedLliswerry3 : 1
    36PillTreowen (WO.)
    37Newport CityBye
    38Penygraig UtdCwm Welfare3 : 2
    39AberystwythBye
    40ByeBarry
    41Llantwit MajorBaglan Dragons2 : 0
    42Cwmbran TownYnyshir Albions5 : 4
    43Cardiff MetropolitanBye
    44Taffs WellAbertillery Excelsiors2 : 1
    45Port TalbotSeven Sisters2 : 1
    46Afan LidoEvans Williams3 : 2
    47Carmarthen TownBye
    48ByeTrethomas Bluebirds
    49LlanelliBye
    50ByeHaverfordwest
    51PenydarrenCaerau Ely0 : 5
    52Morriston TownClydach1 : 0
    53CaerphillyCaldicot1 : 3
    54Penrhiwceiber RangersPentwynmawr Ath7 : 0
    55Goytre UtdAmmanford2 : 1
    56ByeCambrian United
    57PontypriddBye
    58RhayaderCefn Cribwr1 : 4
    59Abercarn UnitedSwansea University1 : 2
    60ByeTrefelin
    61Briton FerryBye
    62ByePenybont
    63Blaenavon BluesCanton Liberal4 : 1
    64PontyclunTata4 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1HolywellRhostyllen
    2Bangor 1876Guilsfield
    3Bow StreetFlint
    4Caersws FCDolgellau Athletic
    5PorthmadogBuckley
    6GresfordLlanrug
    7LlandudnoFlint Mountain
    8Kinmel BayColwyn Bay
    9RhylBrickfield
    10HolyheadAirbus
    11BalaConnahs Q.
    12Broughton UtdTrearddur Bay
    13Mold AlexandraTNS
    14NewtownCaernarfon
    15LlannefyddPenrhyncoch
    16Garden VillageGlynneath Town
    17Dinas PowysCardiff Draconians
    18LlwydcoedTreowen
    19Newport CityPenygraig Utd
    20AberystwythBarry
    21Llantwit MajorCwmbran Town
    22Cardiff MetropolitanTaffs Well
    23Port TalbotAfan Lido
    24Carmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
    25LlanelliHaverfordwest
    26Caerau ElyMorriston Town
    27CaldicotPenrhiwceiber Rangers
    28Goytre UtdCambrian United
    29PontypriddCefn Cribwr
    30Swansea UniversityTrefelin
    31Briton FerryPenybont
    32Blaenavon BluesPontyclun
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