Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain
30/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Toulouse
13.3%
Draw
18.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.8% 17.6% 70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3% 16.9% 73.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.41
    (8.1)
    5.18
    (5.42)
    1.41
    (1.35)
    3.7%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • Toulouse has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • PSG is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toulouse has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:39. (average 0.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1
    22.11.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 3:0
    12.05.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 1:3
    03.01.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 2:0
    19.08.2023 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1
    02.08.2025 Stuttgart - Toulouse 4:0
    30.07.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Toulouse 2:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon22004:046
    2Toulouse22003:036
    3PSG22002:026
    4Strasbourg22002:026
    5Lille21104:314
    6Lorient21014:133
    7Marseille21015:323
    8Monaco21013:213
    9Nice21013:213
    10Lens21012:203
    11Angers21011:103
    12Auxerre21012:3-13
    13Rennes21011:4-33
    14Brest20113:5-21
    15Nantes20020:2-20
    16Le Havre20022:5-30
    17Paris FC20022:6-40
    18Metz20020:4-40

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