Toulouse vs Castres: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union French Top 14 Toulouse - Castres
Result
59:12
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Top 14 - Round 4
Toulouse - Castres - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
90
Conversion Goals
70
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
04
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (19 - 12)
  • 3', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 11', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', Cramont G. (Try),
  • 17', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 30', Palis G. (Penalty Goal),
  • 35', Cramont G. (Try),
  • 36', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40+1', Cramont G. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (40 - 0)
  • 42', Ntamack T. (Try),
  • 42', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 46', Ntamack T. (Try),
  • 46', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Lebel M. (Try),
  • 55', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Barassi P. (Try),
  • 69', Chabouni T. 🟨,
  • 76', Ahki P. (Try),
  • 77', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Lebel M. (Try),
  • 80', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Toulouse
88.6%
Draw
2.1%
Castres
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
91.9% 1.9% 6.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Toulouse - Castres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.06
    (1.02)
    43.88
    (50)
    9.93
    (15)
    7.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-24)
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Castres?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Castres will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 41:17.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.
    • In this match, Toulouse is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 458:436. (average 22.9:21.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 280:166. (average 28:16.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Castres were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Toulouse - Castres 52:6
    05.10.2024 Castres - Toulouse 28:23
    02.03.2024 Toulouse - Castres 33:6
    18.11.2023 Castres - Toulouse 31:23
    25.03.2023 Castres - Toulouse 27:17
    Latest results of Toulouse
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulouse 44:14
    13.09.2025 Toulouse - Perpignan 31:13
    07.09.2025 Clermont - Toulouse 24:34
    28.06.2025 Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles 39:33
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    Latest results of Castres
    20.09.2025 Castres - Aviron Bayonnais 48:17
    13.09.2025 Toulon - Castres 16:12
    06.09.2025 Castres - Section Paloise 15:17
    14.06.2025 Toulon - Castres 52:23
    07.06.2025 Stade Français - Castres 21:10
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain4301138:9314
    2Section Paloise4301118:9014
    3Lyon4301114:10213
    4Racing 924301122:11012
    5Aviron Bayonnais4301104:12212
    6Stade Rochelais320183:4710
    7Stade Francais Paris4202122:10710
    8Bordeaux Begles4202133:1149
    9RC Toulonnais320175:649
    10Montpellier4112106:898
    11Castres Olympique410387:1097
    12Clermont4103121:1385
    13Montauban401388:1652
    14USA Perpignan400455:1160

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Castres?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFranceCANAL+ France
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports Player
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