Section Paloise vs Castres: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
27:15
09/05/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Top 14 - Round 23
Section Paloise - Castres - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
22
Conversion goals
11
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
51
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00
Yellow cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 12)
  • 14', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', Colonna P. (Try),
  • 30', Gailleton E. (Try),
  • 30', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Botitu V. (Try),
  • 33', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Ducat G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (17 - 3)
  • 44', Zegueur S. (Try),
  • 59', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 68', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 75', Collier W. 🟨,
  • 76', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 78', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Section Paloise
82.9%
Draw
2.7%
Castres
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
81.9% 3.5% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Section Paloise - Castres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.12)
    33.64
    (26)
    6.42
    (6.25)
    8.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 2.
    • In recent matches, Section Paloise has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castres is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Section Paloise has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Section Paloise is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 425:477. (average 21.3:23.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 227:179. (average 25.2:19.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Castres were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Castres - Section Paloise 15:17
    04.01.2025 Castres - Section Paloise 24:19
    12.10.2024 Section Paloise - Castres 33:26
    03.02.2024 Section Paloise - Castres 33:44
    19.08.2023 Castres - Section Paloise 24:23
    Latest results of Section Paloise
    Latest results of Castres
    25.04.2026 Lyon - Castres 26:21
    18.04.2026 Castres - Toulouse 25:42
    03.04.2026 Northampton Saints - Castres 49:41
    28.03.2026 Castres - Montauban 49:17
    21.03.2026 Racing Métro - Castres 52:21
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain231706912:51782
    2Montpellier241518770:54474
    3Section Paloise241608728:60473
    4Stade Francais Paris241419809:61673
    5Bordeaux Begles2414010769:65868
    6Clermont2414010765:63667
    7Racing 92241419756:69065
    8Stade Rochelais2312011688:58758
    9RC Toulonnais2411112666:76055
    10Lyon2411112678:70752
    11Castres Olympique2410014595:70149
    12Aviron Bayonnais2410014674:82446
    13USA Perpignan245019514:71825
    14Montauban241122445:12077

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Section Paloise - Castres?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaTV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
    asiaAsiaTV5 Monde Asia
    europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
    franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
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