Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Result
0:4
08/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2120
Shots off target
1715
Shooting PCT
0% (0/21)20% (4/20)
Blocked shots
1812
Goalkeeper Saves
1621
Saves PCT
84.21% (16/19)100% (21/21)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (3/3)
Hits
1316
Faceoffs Won
3820
Faceoffs %
65.5234.48
Giveaways
1614
Takeaways
47
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 02:34, Stolarz A. ↓, Woll J. ↑,
  • 07:53, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 13:22, 0 - 1, Strome D. (G), Beauvillier A. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
  • 18:32, Leonard R. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:40, 0 - 2, Leonard R. (G), Wilson T. (A),
  • 02:53, 0 - 3, Fehervary M. (G), Strome D. (A), Sourdif J. (A2)
  • 05:56, Protas I. (2 min),
  • 15:02, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 16:10, 0 - 4, Hutson C. (G), Protas A. (A), Protas I. (A2)
  • 18:17, Leonard R. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
30.8%		Draw
22.3%		Washington Capitals
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 22.7% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 23.6% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-3%)
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.06 ↑
    (2.98)    		 4.23 ↑
    (4.17)    		 2.02 ↓
    (2.07)    		 5.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals?
    • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Washington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Washington could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O. (Lower-Body Injury) Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 71:62. (average 3.6:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 3.8:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals were as follows:
    18.12.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:0
    28.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2
    28.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 2:5
    06.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 1:3
    13.11.2024 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    04.04.2026 Los Angeles Kings - Toronto Maple Leafs 7:6 ✺
    02.04.2026 San Jose Sharks - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:1 ✺
    30.03.2026 Anaheim Ducks - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:5 ✺
    28.03.2026 St. Louis Blues - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1 ✺
    25.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers 4:3 ✺
    Latest results of Washington Capitals
    05.04.2026 New York Rangers - Washington Capitals 8:1 ✺
    04.04.2026 Washington Capitals - Buffalo Sabres 6:2 ✺
    02.04.2026 New Jersey Devils - Washington Capitals 7:3 ✺
    31.03.2026 Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers 6:4 ✺
    28.03.2026 Vegas Golden Knights - Washington Capitals 4:5 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 784661016293:198114
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7936111220267:218106
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 7930151222265:230102
    4Utah Mammoth ✔ 783210630258:22490
    5Edmonton Oilers793191029275:26590
    6Vegas Golden Knights792881726252:24589
    7Anaheim Ducks792517532263:27789
    8Los Angeles Kings7820131926215:23785
    9Nashville Predators7927101032239:26084
    10Winnipeg Jets782871231224:23682
    11San Jose Sharks782512734237:28081
    12St. Louis Blues782941233208:24478
    13Seattle Kraken782581134218:25177
    14Calgary Flames78257937203:25073
    15Chicago Blackhawks792171437204:26370
    16Vancouver Canucks78157848203:30152


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 793714622288:235108
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 80418823280:236106
    3Montreal Canadiens ✔ 7933141022275:246104
    4Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 79399625282:223102
    5Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 793471622285:25298
    6Boston Bruins7931121026264:24696
    7Ottawa Senators793661027269:24194
    8Philadelphia Flyers7925151227236:23892
    9New York Islanders792914531231:23291
    10Detroit Red Wings793011929234:24191
    11Columbus Blue Jackets7927121228245:24690
    12Washington Capitals79346930252:24089
    13New Jersey Devils792812336221:24483
    14Florida Panthers79298438234:27178
    15Toronto Maple Leafs792391433245:28478
    16New York Rangers79249937232:24375

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