Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.632.39
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
713
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Long passes
45% (24/53)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)69% (96/140)
Crosses
35% (6/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.99
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
137
Tackles
69% (9/13)89% (16/18)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.390.63
Goals prevented
1.39-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Sofo M. ,
  • 24', Morgan L. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 41', Monlouis Z. , Thompson K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Corbeanu T. , Rosted S. (A), Coello A. (A2)
  • 62', Carmona W. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 62', Carballo F. , Donkor R. ,
  • 62', Edwards R. , Valencia O. ,
  • 66', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 76', Dominguez M. , Kerr D. ,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. , Spicer T. ,
  • 77', Bogacz W. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 80', Sofo M. 🟨,
  • 81', Rosted S. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 83', Sofo M. , Hall J. ,
  • 87', Etienne D. , Wingo H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
27%
Draw
27.7%
New York Red Bulls
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 29% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 28.8% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (3.11)
    3.4
    (3.29)
    2.12
    (2.36)
    5.1%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 31%73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Laryea R. (International duty) Osorio J. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury) Rojas A. (International duty) Stroud P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (International duty) Harper C. (Injury) Stokes A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1
    02.10.2024 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:4
    27.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:1
    22.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:0
    07.10.2023 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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