New York City vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Toronto FC
Result
3:1
03/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York City - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.40
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
83% (401/484)80% (310/386)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.731.49
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
83% (401/484)80% (310/386)
Long passes
49% (25/51)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
68% (69/101)62% (68/109)
Crosses
17% (1/6)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.89
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1012
Tackles
61% (11/18)82% (18/22)
Duels won
4755
Clearances
3725
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.492.73
Goals prevented
1.49-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Long K. 🟨,
  • 19', Longstaff M. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Wolf H. , Ilenic M. (A),
  • 25', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Ilenic M. , Ojeda A. (A), O'Neill A. (A2)
  • 58', Petretta R. , Laryea R. ,
  • 58', Spicer T. , Kerr D. ,
  • 67', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Romero T. (Own goal),
  • 70', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 70', Longstaff M. , Henry M. ,
  • 71', Henry M. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 1, O'Toole K. , Wolf H. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 76', Ojeda A. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 84', Moralez M. , Shore J. ,
  • 84', Martinez A. , Bakrar M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
59.9%
Draw
22.4%
Toronto FC
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 21.6% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 21.2% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • New York City - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.53)
    4.23
    (4.42)
    5.36
    (5.97)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.9%88.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 3 - 50%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • DC - Toronto (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5.
    • NY City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Bernardeschi F. (Knock) Osorio J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Toronto FC were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Toronto FC - New York City 0:1
    11.05.2024 Toronto FC - New York City 2:3
    16.03.2024 New York City - Toronto FC 2:1
    24.09.2023 New York City - Toronto FC 3:0
    26.07.2023 New York City - Toronto FC 5:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144749:321746
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    3Nashville SC25145642:271547
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7New York City24115834:29538
    8Charlotte241121141:39235
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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