Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Columbus Crew - Toronto FC
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Columbus Crew - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.17
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (378/434)85% (403/473)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.440.58
Total shots
124
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
30
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
73
Free Kicks
1918
Passes
87% (378/434)85% (403/473)
Long passes
44% (11/25)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
77% (95/123)63% (59/93)
Crosses
27% (4/15)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.54
Throw-ins
1610
Fouls
1819
Tackles
50% (8/16)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4945
Clearances
815
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.580.44
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Abou Ali W. , Arfsten M. (A),
  • 32', Abou Ali W. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 34', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 42', Gazdag D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Laryea R. , Osorio J. (A), Etienne D. (A2)
  • 71', Cifuentes J. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 71', Petretta R. , Franklin K. ,
  • 74', Gazdag D. , Russell-Rowe J. ,
  • 74', Chambost D. , Habroune T. ,
  • 80', Thompson K. , Henry M. ,
  • 89', Etienne D. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 89', Corbeanu T. , Cimermancic M. ,
  • 90+8', Aliyu I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
64.4%
Draw
19.7%
Toronto FC
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 19.4% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 18.3% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Columbus Crew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Columbus Crew - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.42)
    4.77
    (4.85)
    5.92
    (6.7)
    4.9%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Columbus is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R. (Pelvis Injury) Zawadzki S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury) Rossi D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Long K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - Toronto FC were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    18.09.2024 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 0:2
    06.07.2024 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 4:0
    26.08.2023 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 2:0
    11.03.2023 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Columbus Crew - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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