Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Columbus Crew - Toronto FC
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Columbus Crew - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.17
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (378/434)85% (403/473)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.440.58
Total shots
124
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
30
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
73
Free Kicks
1918
Passes
87% (378/434)85% (403/473)
Long passes
44% (11/25)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
77% (95/123)63% (59/93)
Crosses
27% (4/15)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.54
Throw-ins
1610
Fouls
1819
Tackles
50% (8/16)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4945
Clearances
815
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.580.44
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Abou Ali W. , Arfsten M. (A),
  • 32', Abou Ali W. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 34', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 42', Gazdag D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Laryea R. , Osorio J. (A), Etienne D. (A2)
  • 71', Cifuentes J. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 71', Petretta R. , Franklin K. ,
  • 74', Gazdag D. , Russell-Rowe J. ,
  • 74', Chambost D. , Habroune T. ,
  • 80', Thompson K. , Henry M. ,
  • 89', Etienne D. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 89', Corbeanu T. , Cimermancic M. ,
  • 90+8', Aliyu I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
64.4%
Draw
19.7%
Toronto FC
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 19.4% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 18.3% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Columbus Crew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Columbus Crew - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.42)
    4.77
    (4.85)
    5.92
    (6.7)
    4.9%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Columbus is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R. (Pelvis Injury) Zawadzki S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury) Rossi D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Long K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - Toronto FC were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    18.09.2024 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 0:2
    06.07.2024 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 4:0
    26.08.2023 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 2:0
    11.03.2023 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Columbus Crew - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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