Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Columbus Crew
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Toronto FC - Columbus Crew - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Toronto FC
25.6%
Draw
25.7%
Columbus Crew
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 26.5% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 26.3% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.68
    (3.11)
    3.71
    (3.59)
    1.95
    (2.21)
    5.5%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Columbus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
    • Columbus could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 0:2
    06.07.2024 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 4:0
    26.08.2023 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 2:0
    11.03.2023 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    05.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Club León 1:0
    01.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Puebla 3:1
    29.07.2025 Toluca - Columbus Crew 2:2
    19.07.2025 Columbus Crew - DC United 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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