Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS
Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Columbus Crew
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
Toronto FC - Columbus Crew - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.31
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
83% (335/402)88% (463/527)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.881.60
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1732
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
83% (335/402)88% (463/527)
Long passes
54% (30/56)62% (21/34)
Passes in final third
61% (50/82)77% (132/172)
Crosses
38% (5/13)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.17
Throw-ins
917
Fouls
1315
Tackles
74% (14/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4841
Clearances
2116
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.600.88
Goals prevented
0.60-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aliyu I. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
  • 46', Amundsen M. ↓, Cheberko Y. ↑,
  • 66', Rosted S. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
  • 66', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Corbeanu T. ↑,
  • 68', Rossi D. 🟨,
  • 75', Kerr D. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Vilsaint J. ⚽, Mihailovic D. (A),
  • 83', Herrera A. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
  • 84', Rossi D. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
  • 89', Coello A. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
  • 89', Dominguez M. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
  • 89', Moreira S. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
24.3%		Draw
25.1%		Columbus Crew
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 26.5% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 26.3% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.
  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Toronto FC - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.87 ↑
    (3.11)    		 3.77 ↑
    (3.59)    		 1.88 ↓
    (2.21)    		 5.5%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Columbus Crew?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Columbus will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Columbus: 40% – 93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Columbus Crew will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Columbus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
    • Columbus could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Johnson S. (Concussion) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R. (Thigh Injury) Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury) Hagen N. (Hand Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 0:2
    06.07.2024 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 4:0
    26.08.2023 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 2:0
    11.03.2023 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    09.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 1:1 ✺
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0 ✺
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0 ✺
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1 ✺
    12.07.2025 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    05.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Club León 1:0 ✺
    01.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Puebla 3:1 ✺
    29.07.2025 Toluca - Columbus Crew 2:2 ✺
    25.07.2025 Columbus Crew - Orlando City 1:3 ✺
    19.07.2025 Columbus Crew - DC United 2:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - Columbus Crew?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 4
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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