Charlotte vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Charlotte - Toronto FC
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Charlotte - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.901.09
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2435
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
616
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Long passes
56% (20/36)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
71% (59/83)75% (93/124)
Crosses
50% (3/6)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.60
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
166
Tackles
75% (6/8)50% (6/12)
Duels won
2639
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.091.90
Goals prevented
1.09-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, Toklomati I. , Bronico B. (A),
  • 62', Longstaff M. , Spicer T. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Calderon Vargas K. A. , Zaha W. (A),
  • 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 72', Bronico B. , Williamson E. ,
  • 72', Osorio J. , Flores D. ,
  • 73', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 73', Tuiloma B. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Dominguez M. , Cimermancic M. ,
  • 89', Long K. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 89', Toklomati I. , Smalls T. ,
  • 89', Biel P. , Petkovic N. ,

Chances of winning


Charlotte
62.5%
Draw
20.7%
Toronto FC
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 22.9% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Charlotte - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.61)
    4.51
    (4.13)
    5.59
    (5.14)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Charlotte - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
    • Charlotte is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Charlotte is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Abada L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Head Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Byrne N. (Neck Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Toronto FC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    13.04.2024 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:2
    09.03.2024 Toronto FC - Charlotte 1:0
    04.10.2023 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:0
    01.04.2023 Toronto FC - Charlotte 2:2
    Latest results of Charlotte
    19.07.2025 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    12.07.2025 Charlotte - New York City 2:0
    05.07.2025 Charlotte - Orlando City 2:2
    28.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Charlotte 3:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Charlotte - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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