Charlotte vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS
Soccer MLS Charlotte - Toronto FC
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Charlotte - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.901.09
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2435
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
616
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Long passes
56% (20/36)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
71% (59/83)75% (93/124)
Crosses
50% (3/6)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.60
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
166
Tackles
75% (6/8)50% (6/12)
Duels won
2639
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.091.90
Goals prevented
1.09-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, Toklomati I. ⚽, Bronico B. (A),
  • 62', Longstaff M. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Calderon Vargas K. A. ⚽, Zaha W. (A),
  • 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 72', Bronico B. ↓, Williamson E. ↑,
  • 72', Osorio J. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
  • 73', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
  • 73', Tuiloma B. ↓, Scardina N. ↑,
  • 88', Dominguez M. ↓, Cimermancic M. ↑,
  • 89', Long K. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
  • 89', Toklomati I. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
  • 89', Biel P. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Charlotte
62.5%		Draw
20.7%		Toronto FC
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 22.9% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
    •

    Charlotte - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.53 ↓
    (1.61)    		 4.51 ↑
    (4.13)    		 5.59 ↑
    (5.14)    		 5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Charlotte - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 57.1% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
    • Charlotte is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Charlotte is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Abada L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Head Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Byrne N. (Neck Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Toronto FC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    13.04.2024 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:2
    09.03.2024 Toronto FC - Charlotte 1:0
    04.10.2023 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:0
    01.04.2023 Toronto FC - Charlotte 2:2
    Latest results of Charlotte
    19.07.2025 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3 ✺
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1 ✺
    12.07.2025 Charlotte - New York City 2:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 Charlotte - Orlando City 2:2 ✺
    28.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Charlotte 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0 ✺
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1 ✺
    12.07.2025 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 1:1 ✺
    03.07.2025 New York City - Toronto FC 3:1 ✺
    28.06.2025 Toronto FC - Portland Timbers 3:0 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Charlotte - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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