CF Montréal vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Toronto FC
Result
1:6
17/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet CF Montréal - Toronto FC live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.762.19
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
85% (337/395)90% (482/538)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.762.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.452.90
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1331
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
85% (337/395)90% (482/538)
Long passes
51% (24/47)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
62% (59/95)83% (119/143)
Crosses
25% (4/16)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.83
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1215
Tackles
80% (12/15)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.901.45
Goals prevented
-3.100.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 9', Thompson K. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Spicer T. , Brynhildsen O. (A),
  • 21', Waterman J. 🟥,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Bernardeschi F. , Flores D. (A),
  • 33', 0 - 3, Brynhildsen O. , Dominguez M. (A), Bernardeschi F. (A2)
  • 34', Pearce T. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 34', Clark C. , Loturi V. ,
  • 45+4', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Saliba N. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 46', Long K. , Monlouis Z. ,
  • 55', 0 - 4, Bernardeschi F. , Insigne L. (A),
  • 57', Neal J. 🟨,
  • 58', Neal J. , Craig B. ,
  • 62', Spicer T. , Corbeanu T. ,
  • 62', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Vrioni G. , Petrasso L. (A),
  • 66', 1 - 5, Corbeanu T. ,
  • 70', Insigne L. , Longstaff M. ,
  • 76', Petrasso L. , Owusu P. ,
  • 80', Thompson K. , Wingo H. ,
  • 89', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 6, Corbeanu T. , Bernardeschi F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
51.5%
Draw
26.1%
Toronto FC
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 28.1% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 27.8% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CF Montréal's performance.
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CF Montréal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • CF Montréal - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.35)
    3.65
    (3.35)
    4.26
    (2.94)
    4.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Toronto FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: CF Montréal will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
    • Montreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • Montreal could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Campbell G. (Injury) Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Yankov D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Injury) Petretta R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Toronto FC were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    20.07.2024 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 0:1
    18.05.2024 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 5:1
    20.08.2023 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    13.05.2023 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan