Toronto FC vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - CF Montréal
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
Toronto FC - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.33
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
82% (211/258)81% (303/372)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.94
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
159
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
82% (211/258)81% (303/372)
Long passes
41% (12/29)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)57% (49/86)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.83
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1614
Tackles
56% (10/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.941.97
Goals prevented
-0.060.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Synchuk G. 🟨,
  • 32', Petrasso L. 🟨,
  • 36', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 40', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Long K. 🟨,
  • 61', Petrasso L. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 61', Synchuk G. , Ivan Jaime ,
  • 70', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 74', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 74', Dominguez M. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 82', Escobar O. , Duke B. ,
  • 82', Craig B. , Hidalgo B. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Sealy D. , Duke B. (A),
  • 85', Coello A. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 86', Vilsaint J. 🟨,
  • 86', Gillier T. 🟨,
  • 88', Franklin K. , Etienne D. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Osorio J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
48.1%
Draw
25.7%
CF Montréal
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 23.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 22.6% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Toronto FC - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2)
    3.66
    (4)
    3.59
    (3.1)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Injury) Neal J. (Illness) Opoku K. (Lower-Body Injury) Piette S. (Upper-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - CF Montréal were as follows:
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6
    30.04.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    20.07.2024 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 0:1
    18.05.2024 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 5:1
    20.08.2023 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    23.08.2025 CF Montréal - Austin FC 3:2
    16.08.2025 CF Montréal - DC United 1:1
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Toluca - CF Montréal 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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