CF Montréal vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Toronto FC
Result
1:6
17/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.762.19
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
85% (337/395)90% (482/538)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.762.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.452.90
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1331
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
85% (337/395)90% (482/538)
Long passes
51% (24/47)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
62% (59/95)83% (119/143)
Crosses
25% (4/16)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.83
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1215
Tackles
80% (12/15)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.901.45
Goals prevented
-3.100.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 9', Thompson K. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Spicer T. , Brynhildsen O. (A),
  • 21', Waterman J. 🟥,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Bernardeschi F. , Flores D. (A),
  • 33', 0 - 3, Brynhildsen O. , Dominguez M. (A), Bernardeschi F. (A2)
  • 34', Pearce T. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 34', Clark C. , Loturi V. ,
  • 45+4', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Saliba N. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 46', Long K. , Monlouis Z. ,
  • 55', 0 - 4, Bernardeschi F. , Insigne L. (A),
  • 57', Neal J. 🟨,
  • 58', Neal J. , Craig B. ,
  • 62', Spicer T. , Corbeanu T. ,
  • 62', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Vrioni G. , Petrasso L. (A),
  • 66', 1 - 5, Corbeanu T. ,
  • 70', Insigne L. , Longstaff M. ,
  • 76', Petrasso L. , Owusu P. ,
  • 80', Thompson K. , Wingo H. ,
  • 89', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 6, Corbeanu T. , Bernardeschi F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
51.5%
Draw
26.1%
Toronto FC
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 28.1% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 27.8% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CF Montréal's performance.
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CF Montréal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • CF Montréal - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.35)
    3.65
    (3.35)
    4.26
    (2.94)
    4.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Toronto FC?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is CF Montréal will win! (10 of 11 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
    • Montreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • Montreal could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Campbell G. (Injury) Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Yankov D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Injury) Petretta R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Toronto FC were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    20.07.2024 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 0:1
    18.05.2024 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 5:1
    20.08.2023 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    13.05.2023 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps1595127:121532
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Seattle Sounders1775525:22326
    5Portland Timbers1675425:22326
    6Los Angeles FC1565427:22523
    7San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    8Colorado Rapids1664618:22-422
    9Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    10Austin FC1755711:20-920
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1644825:28-316
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1635813:21-814
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9New York City1774620:20025
    10New England Revolution1565419:14523
    11Chicago Fire1564528:28022
    12DC United1746716:29-1318
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
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