CF Montréal vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Toronto FC
Result
1:6
17/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.762.19
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
85% (337/395)90% (482/538)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.762.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.452.90
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1331
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
85% (337/395)90% (482/538)
Long passes
51% (24/47)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
62% (59/95)83% (119/143)
Crosses
25% (4/16)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.83
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1215
Tackles
80% (12/15)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.901.45
Goals prevented
-3.100.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 9', Thompson K. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Spicer T. , Brynhildsen O. (A),
  • 21', Waterman J. 🟥,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Bernardeschi F. , Flores D. (A),
  • 33', 0 - 3, Brynhildsen O. , Dominguez M. (A), Bernardeschi F. (A2)
  • 34', Pearce T. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 34', Clark C. , Loturi V. ,
  • 45+4', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Saliba N. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 46', Long K. , Monlouis Z. ,
  • 55', 0 - 4, Bernardeschi F. , Insigne L. (A),
  • 57', Neal J. 🟨,
  • 58', Neal J. , Craig B. ,
  • 62', Spicer T. , Corbeanu T. ,
  • 62', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Vrioni G. , Petrasso L. (A),
  • 66', 1 - 5, Corbeanu T. ,
  • 70', Insigne L. , Longstaff M. ,
  • 76', Petrasso L. , Owusu P. ,
  • 80', Thompson K. , Wingo H. ,
  • 89', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 6, Corbeanu T. , Bernardeschi F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
51.5%
Draw
26.1%
Toronto FC
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 28.1% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 27.8% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CF Montréal's performance.
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CF Montréal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • CF Montréal - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.35)
    3.65
    (3.35)
    4.26
    (2.94)
    4.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Toronto FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: CF Montréal will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
    • Montreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • Montreal could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Campbell G. (Injury) Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Yankov D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Injury) Petretta R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Toronto FC were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    20.07.2024 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 0:1
    18.05.2024 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 5:1
    20.08.2023 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    13.05.2023 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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