Toronto FC vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - CF Montréal
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
Toronto FC - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.33
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
82% (211/258)81% (303/372)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.94
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
159
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
82% (211/258)81% (303/372)
Long passes
41% (12/29)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)57% (49/86)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.83
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1614
Tackles
56% (10/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.941.97
Goals prevented
-0.060.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Synchuk G. 🟨,
  • 32', Petrasso L. 🟨,
  • 36', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 40', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Long K. 🟨,
  • 61', Petrasso L. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 61', Synchuk G. , Ivan Jaime ,
  • 70', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 74', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 74', Dominguez M. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 82', Escobar O. , Duke B. ,
  • 82', Craig B. , Hidalgo B. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Sealy D. , Duke B. (A),
  • 85', Coello A. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 86', Vilsaint J. 🟨,
  • 86', Gillier T. 🟨,
  • 88', Franklin K. , Etienne D. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Osorio J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
48.1%
Draw
25.7%
CF Montréal
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 23.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 22.6% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Toronto FC - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2)
    3.66
    (4)
    3.59
    (3.1)
    6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Injury) Neal J. (Illness) Opoku K. (Lower-Body Injury) Piette S. (Upper-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - CF Montréal were as follows:
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6
    30.04.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    20.07.2024 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 0:1
    18.05.2024 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 5:1
    20.08.2023 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    23.08.2025 CF Montréal - Austin FC 3:2
    16.08.2025 CF Montréal - DC United 1:1
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Toluca - CF Montréal 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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