Result
3:1
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.93 | 1.48 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
85% (412/484) | 84% (321/384) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.93 | 1.48 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.30 | 1.73 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
85% (412/484) | 84% (321/384) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (18/43) | 51% (26/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (73/107) | 73% (67/92) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (5/14) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.79 | 1.14 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (12/16) | 68% (13/19) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.73 | 2.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.73 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
- 18', Gallardo J. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Perez P. ⚽, Palavecino A. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Ruiz M. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
- 41', 2 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Ruiz M. (A),
- 45+1', Ruiz M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Perez P. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 60', Jesus Alcantar ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 66', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↓, Bruno Mendez ↑,
- 66', Paulinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
- 71', Monreal R. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 75', Angulo J. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
- 83', Rodriguez I. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
- 83', Calderon C. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
- 88', De Buen D. 🟨,
- 89', Vega A. ↓, Helinho ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Helinho ⚽, Castro N. (A),
Chances of winning
Toluca 59.2% | Draw 22.6% | Necaxa 18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Toluca - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.66) |
4.19 ↑ (4.11) |
5.08 ↑ (4.72) |
6.5% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toluca - Necaxa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Toluca will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
- In this match, Toluca is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Toluca: Lopez P.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Perez P.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Necaxa?
Toluca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Toluca?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Necaxa were as follows:
08.03.2025
Toluca
-
Necaxa
5:2
27.10.2024
Necaxa
-
Toluca
1:3
10.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Toluca
3:3
02.07.2023
Toluca
-
Necaxa
0:0
26.12.2022
Toluca
-
Necaxa
1:0
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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Which TV channels are streaming of Toluca - Necaxa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
World | VIX App |