Result
5:2
08/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (374/435) | 81% (233/286) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 69% (63/91) | 63% (52/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 67% (12/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Cambindo D. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
- 28', Paulinho 🟨,
- 35', Lara E. 🟨,
- 39', Cambindo D. 🟨,
- 40', Herrera H. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Paradela J. ⚽,
- 45+9', 1 - 2, Paulinho ⚽, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Pena A. ↓, Montes A. ↑,
- 46', Morales R. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
- 46', Bruno Mendez ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 2, Briseno A. ⚽,
- 56', 3 - 2, Vega A. ⚽, Ruiz M. (A),
- 59', Palavecino A. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 60', Rojas J. ↓, Mayorga A. ↑,
- 60', Andrade A. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
- 65', Violante I. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 2, Vega A. ⚽, Paulinho (A),
- 78', Perez P. 🟨,
- 82', Herrera H. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
- 82', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↓, Helinho ↑,
- 83', Ruiz M. 🟨,
- 83', Rosero K. 🟨,
- 84', 5 - 2, Vega A. ⚽, Paulinho (A),
- 89', De Buen D. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
- 90+3', Pereira F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Unsain E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
60.4% | Draw
20.5% | Necaxa
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Toluca - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57
(1.57) |
4.59 ↑
(4.48) |
4.93 ↓
(4.97) |
5.8%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Toluca - Necaxa?
The most likely score is 2:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toluca won 3.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- Toluca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Toluca is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Toluca won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:21 (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toluca won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Necaxa?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Toluca?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Necaxa were as follows:
27.10.2024
Necaxa
-
Toluca
1:3
10.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Toluca
3:3
02.07.2023
Toluca
-
Necaxa
0:0
26.12.2022
Toluca
-
Necaxa
1:0
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (8) | 2 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (4) | Necaxa (5) | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Club America (2) | Pachuca (7) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Club Leon (6) | 2 : 1, 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (4) | |
| 2 | Club America (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | |
Final
Which TV channels are streaming of Toluca - Necaxa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
