Pachuca vs Necaxa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Pachuca - Necaxa
11/10/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Pachuca - Necaxa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Pachuca
56.2%
Draw
23.6%
Necaxa
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 23.1% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 22.7% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Pachuca - Necaxa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.66)
    3.95 ↓
    (4.09)
    4.58 ↓
    (4.76)
    7.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 17th).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 5.
    • In recent outings, Pachuca has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
    • Necaxa has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
    • Pachuca could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
    • Pachuca carries the favorite tag into this contest.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pachuca has recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:23 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).
    • Specifically in home fixtures for Pachuca against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:9 goals (averaging 2:0.9 per game).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Necaxa were as follows:
    03.03.2026 Pachuca - Necaxa 2:1
    03.10.2025 Necaxa - Pachuca 0:1
    11.04.2025 Necaxa - Pachuca 3:5
    02.11.2024 Pachuca - Necaxa 6:2
    05.05.2024 Pachuca - Necaxa 2:1
    Latest results of Pachuca
    26.09.2026 Santos Laguna - Pachuca 1:0 ✺
    20.09.2026 Pachuca - Tijuana 2:2 ✺
    11.09.2026 Atlante - Pachuca 0:3 ✺
    04.09.2026 Juárez - Pachuca 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Necaxa
    27.09.2026 Necaxa - Club América 2:4 ✺
    11.09.2026 Necaxa - Puebla 0:1 ✺
    05.09.2026 Tigres UANL - Necaxa 1:1
    28.08.2026 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 1:3 ✺
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1062223:121120
    2Club America962121:101120
    3Guadalajara Chivas1053217:10718
    4Queretaro952213:8517
    5Club Leon1052314:11317
    6Atlas1052316:17-117
    7Cruz Azul1051419:18116
    8Club Tijuana942314:13114
    9Puebla1042411:12-114
    10Monterrey941416:14213
    11Pachuca1033415:11412
    12UNAM Pumas1033414:16-212
    13Atl. San Luis1033414:18-412
    14Atlante1025312:15-311
    15Tigres UANL1024410:13-310
    16Santos Laguna1031610:15-510
    17Necaxa1022612:20-88
    18Juarez101097:25-183

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