Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo
Result
3:2
17/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 17
Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.221.98
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
84% (412/489)85% (366/432)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.221.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.992.16
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
3522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
127
Passes
84% (412/489)85% (366/432)
Long passes
36% (18/50)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
70% (114/162)69% (59/86)
Crosses
38% (8/21)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.56
Throw-ins
2914
Fouls
712
Tackles
67% (4/6)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3133
Clearances
2133
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.162.99
Goals prevented
0.16-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Ishihara H. ,
  • 45+3', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', Hashimoto K. , Koizumi K. ,
  • 62', Marcelo Ryan , Anzai S. ,
  • 67', Gustafson S. , Kaneko T. ,
  • 67', Okubo T. , Nagakura M. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Endo K. , Anzai S. (A),
  • 73', Matheus Savio , Sekine T. ,
  • 73', Watanabe R. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 78', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
  • 78', Ogiwara T. , Haraguchi G. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Matsumoto T. , Kaneko T. (A),
  • 87', Endo K. , Nagatomo Y. ,
  • 87', Henrique Trevisan , Morishige M. ,
  • 87', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Haraguchi G. , Sekine T. (A),
  • 90+11', Nagatomo Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
47.3%
Draw
28.3%
Tokyo
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 27.5% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 27.1% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.89)
    3.32
    (3.44)
    3.86
    (4.17)
    6.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Urawa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury) Thiago (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Urawa: Nishikawa S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 0:2
    03.04.2024 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1
    08.07.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 0:0
    18.02.2023 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Latest results of Tokyo
    10.05.2025 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 1:0
    03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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