Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds
Result
3:2
19/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 24
Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.280.62
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (338/401)83% (365/440)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.280.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.55
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
84% (338/401)83% (365/440)
Long passes
51% (18/35)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
75% (105/140)60% (45/75)
Crosses
26% (7/27)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.130.52
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
1316
Tackles
62% (8/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
1728
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.551.65
Goals prevented
-1.45-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Endo K. , Nagatomo Y. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Yasui K. ,
  • 20', 1 - 2, Watanabe R. , Matheus Savio (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Endo K. , Anzai S. ,
  • 62', Komori H. , Matsuo Y. ,
  • 62', Matheus Savio , Thiago ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Marcelo Ryan , Nagatomo Y. (A),
  • 73', Naganuma Y. , Ogiwara T. ,
  • 73', Kaneko T. , Sekine T. ,
  • 75', Tawaratsumida K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 75', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 80', Danilo Boza 🟨,
  • 85', Yasui K. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 86', Marcelo Ryan , Yamashita K. ,
  • 86', Ko T. , Koizumi K. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Nakagawa T. ,
  • 90+2', Muroya S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Scholz A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
37%
Draw
27.7%
Urawa Red Diamonds
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 27.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 27.6% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.52)
    3.41
    (3.42)
    2.66
    (2.72)
    6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Urawa will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.1%70.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
    • Tokyo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Urawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Henrique Trevisan (Calf Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Kim Seung-Gyu (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2
    21.09.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 0:2
    03.04.2024 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1
    08.07.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 0:0
    18.02.2023 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0
    Latest results of Tokyo
    16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0
    05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0
    28.06.2025 Tokyo - Yokohama FC 2:1
    22.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 2:0
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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