Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka
Result
2:2
14/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 20
Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.161.65
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
78% (290/370)84% (470/557)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.161.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.60
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
125
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2925
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
78% (290/370)84% (470/557)
Long passes
39% (22/57)62% (36/58)
Passes in final third
64% (68/107)79% (147/187)
Crosses
20% (2/10)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.71
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
1710
Tackles
59% (10/17)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4450
Clearances
3114
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.601.77
Goals prevented
-0.40-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan , Ko T. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Rafael Ratao , Kagawa S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Noborizato K. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 57', Vitor Bueno , Nakajima M. ,
  • 60', Anzai S. , Tawaratsumida K. ,
  • 60', Higashi K. , Sato K. ,
  • 66', Kagawa S. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 66', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Hatanaka S. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 75', Endo K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Marcelo Ryan , Nozawa L. (A),
  • 84', Kimoto Y. , Oka T. ,
  • 84', Marcelo Ryan , Everton Galdino ,
  • 86', Rafael Ratao , Shibayama M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
31.3%
Draw
26.6%
Cerezo Osaka
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 27.8% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.6% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.93)
    3.52
    (3.38)
    2.23
    (2.35)
    6.6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
    • Tokyo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerezo Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Baek I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Forearm injury) Tanaka S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1
    08.12.2024 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 3:0
    24.02.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 2:2
    06.08.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 0:1
    24.05.2023 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 0:0
    Latest results of Tokyo
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2
    10.05.2025 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 1:0
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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