Result
2:2
14/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (290/370) | 84% (470/557) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (290/370) | 84% (470/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 62% (36/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (68/107) | 79% (147/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Ko T. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Kagawa S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Noborizato K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 57', Vitor Bueno ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 60', Anzai S. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
- 60', Higashi K. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 66', Kagawa S. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 66', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Hatanaka S. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 75', Endo K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Nozawa L. (A),
- 84', Kimoto Y. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
- 84', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 86', Rafael Ratao ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
31.3% | Draw
26.6% | Cerezo Osaka
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.93) |
3.52 ↑
(3.38) |
2.23 ↓
(2.35) |
6.6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
Cerezo Osaka will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
- Tokyo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Baek I.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Homma S.
(Forearm injury)
Tanaka S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Cerezo Osaka?
Tokyo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Tokyo?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
20.04.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Tokyo
1:1
08.12.2024
Tokyo
-
Cerezo Osaka
3:0
24.02.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Tokyo
2:2
06.08.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Tokyo
0:1
24.05.2023
Tokyo
-
Cerezo Osaka
0:0
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
