Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka
Result
2:2
14/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 20
Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.161.65
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
78% (290/370)84% (470/557)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.161.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.60
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
125
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2925
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
78% (290/370)84% (470/557)
Long passes
39% (22/57)62% (36/58)
Passes in final third
64% (68/107)79% (147/187)
Crosses
20% (2/10)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.71
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
1710
Tackles
59% (10/17)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4450
Clearances
3114
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.601.77
Goals prevented
-0.40-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan , Ko T. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Rafael Ratao , Kagawa S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Noborizato K. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 57', Vitor Bueno , Nakajima M. ,
  • 60', Anzai S. , Tawaratsumida K. ,
  • 60', Higashi K. , Sato K. ,
  • 66', Kagawa S. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 66', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Hatanaka S. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 75', Endo K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Marcelo Ryan , Nozawa L. (A),
  • 84', Kimoto Y. , Oka T. ,
  • 84', Marcelo Ryan , Everton Galdino ,
  • 86', Rafael Ratao , Shibayama M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
31.3%
Draw
26.6%
Cerezo Osaka
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 27.8% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.6% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.93)
    3.52
    (3.38)
    2.23
    (2.35)
    6.6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
    • Tokyo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerezo Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Baek I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Forearm injury) Tanaka S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1
    08.12.2024 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 3:0
    24.02.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 2:2
    06.08.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 0:1
    24.05.2023 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 0:0
    Latest results of Tokyo
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2
    10.05.2025 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 1:0
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Vissel Kobe22124628:21740
    4Kyoto22115636:261038
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima22113826:18836
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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