Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy
Result
0:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 23
Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.63
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
80% (373/465)79% (343/435)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.62
Total shots
78
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
158
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
167
Passes
80% (373/465)79% (343/435)
Long passes
51% (36/71)21% (11/53)
Passes in final third
56% (68/122)72% (96/133)
Crosses
19% (3/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.68
Throw-ins
2411
Fouls
716
Tackles
50% (4/8)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4943
Clearances
1725
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.620.07
Goals prevented
0.620.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Tsunashima Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Nagai K. , Mateus ,
  • 57', Morishima T. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 71', Arai Y. , Someno I. ,
  • 71', Morita K. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 81', Mateus , Junker K. ,
  • 81', Saito K. , Meshino S. ,
  • 81', Izumi R. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 85', Fukuda Y. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 88', Nakayama K. , Mori S. ,
  • 90+3', Fukazawa D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
41.8%
Draw
31.9%
Tokyo Verdy
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 31.4% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 31.8% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.17)
    2.96
    (3.05)
    3.6
    (3.92)
    6.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Nagoya is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Fukuda Y. (Injury) Sako M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    11.08.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    22.06.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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