Tigres UANL vs Necaxa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Tigres UANL - Necaxa
Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Tigres UANL - Necaxa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.131.29
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2118
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
74% (247/334)74% (219/295)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.131.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.861.51
Total shots
2118
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
86
Shots inside the Box
1512
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
3531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
74% (247/334)74% (219/295)
Long passes
51% (33/65)31% (15/49)
Passes in final third
64% (82/129)68% (73/108)
Crosses
20% (5/25)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.92
Throw-ins
2822
Fouls
1316
Tackles
56% (9/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5252
Clearances
3544
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.511.86
Goals prevented
-0.490.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Brunetta J. , Lainez D. (A),
  • 55', De Buen D. , Perez P. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Palavecino A. , Paradela J. (A),
  • 74', Cambindo D. , Badaloni T. ,
  • 74', Rojas J. , Monreal R. ,
  • 79', Lainez D. , Lorona V. ,
  • 84', Perez P. , Cortez R. ,
  • 84', Rodriguez I. , Andrade A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Badaloni T. , Lara E. (A),
  • 88', Aquino J. , Flores M. ,
  • 89', Romulo , Cordova S. ,
  • 90+5', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Sanchez J. ,
  • 90+16', Gorriaran F. , Reyes D. ,
  • 90+17', Andrade A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tigres UANL
50.9%
Draw
26%
Necaxa
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 29% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 30.8% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres UANL's performance.
  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tigres UANL - Necaxa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.5)
    3.64
    (3.25)
    4.06
    (2.84)
    6.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Necaxa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Tigres (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tigres UANL will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tigres UANL will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tigres is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Tigres: Gignac A. (Leg Injury) Joaquim (Knee Injury) Rafael Carioca (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Oliveros A. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tigres: Guerrero R. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Necaxa were as follows:
    08.05.2025 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 0:0
    01.03.2025 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 1:2
    06.07.2024 Tigres UANL - Necaxa 1:0
    20.04.2024 Tigres UANL - Necaxa 5:2
    20.08.2023 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 0:3
    Latest results of Tigres UANL
    08.05.2025 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 0:0
    01.05.2025 Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 1:0
    23.04.2025 Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul 1:1
    19.04.2025 Tigres UANL - UNAM 2:1
    15.04.2025 Pachuca - Tigres UANL 0:0
    Latest results of Necaxa
    08.05.2025 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 0:0
    18.04.2025 Puebla - Necaxa 0:1
    15.04.2025 Juárez - Necaxa 2:2
    11.04.2025 Necaxa - Pachuca 3:5
    04.04.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 1:2
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santos Laguna00000:000
    2Monterrey00000:000
    3Cruz Azul00000:000
    4Atlas00000:000
    5Atl. San Luis00000:000
    6Guadalajara Chivas00000:000
    7Necaxa00000:000
    8Pachuca00000:000
    9Toluca00000:000
    10Club America00000:000
    11Puebla00000:000
    12Tigres UANL00000:000
    13UNAM Pumas00000:000
    14Queretaro00000:000
    15Club Tijuana00000:000
    16Club Leon00000:000
    17Juarez00000:000
    18Mazatlan FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tigres UANL - Necaxa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Disney+, ESPN, Tubi TV
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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