Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 5
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (331/436) | 63% (200/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (331/436) | 63% (200/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (15/65) | 40% (38/96) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (73/128) | 52% (65/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Drinan A. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
- 28', Lloyd G. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
- 35', Benning M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Sang T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Hoole L. ↓, Boyle W. ↑,
- 59', Nsiala A. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
- 59', Benning M. ↓, England I. ↑,
- 69', Drinan A. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 69', Oldaker D. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 82', Glatzel P. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 82', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 82', Mabete F. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
- 86', Perry T. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Stewart C. ⚽, Boyle W. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Bodin B. ⚽, Kilkenny G. (A),
- 90+6', Ripley C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
54.7% | Draw
26.3% | Shrewsbury Town
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.83) |
3.7 ↑
(3.5) |
5.13 ↑
(4.33) |
4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1.
- In recent matches, Swindon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shrewsbury has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Swindon is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Clarke O.
(Ankle Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Mata M. A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Swindon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Swindon Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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