Shrewsbury Town vs Notts County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 33
  • Referee: Davis W. (Eng)
Shrewsbury Town - Notts County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.631.39
Ball possession
27%73%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
56
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
67
Passes
50% (111/223)85% (519/612)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
0.631.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.751.28
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
15
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
36
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2133
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free kicks
1111
Passes
50% (111/223)85% (519/612)
Long passes
23% (18/80)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
39% (28/71)72% (153/213)
Crosses
36% (5/14)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.81
Throw ins
2223
Fouls
1111
Tackles
57% (12/21)17% (1/6)
Duels won
5943
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
1.281.75
Goals prevented
1.280.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Scully A. , McDermott T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Perry T. ,
  • 57', Tangen H. , Ndlovu L. ,
  • 58', Tsaroulla N. , Enoru B. ,
  • 58', Jones J. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 63', Enoru B. 🟨,
  • 71', Sang T. , Freeman N. ,
  • 71', Lloyd G. , Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ,
  • 75', Iorpenda T. , Hall T. ,
  • 76', Norburn O. , Hinchy J. ,
  • 76', Morgan I. , Benning M. ,
  • 90+5', Macari L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Norburn O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shrewsbury Town
29.6%
Draw
29.1%
Notts County
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 28.1% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 27.3% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Shrewsbury Town - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (3.08)
    3.19
    (3.25)
    2.27
    (2.17)
    7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Notts County?
    • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 57.1%100%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 3.
    • In recent matches, Shrewsbury has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Notts County is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Clucas S. (Injury) Marquis J. (Inactive) Ojinnaka T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Notts County were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Notts County - Shrewsbury Town 4:1
    13.08.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 4:3
    01.12.2023 Notts County - Shrewsbury Town 2:3
    29.07.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 1:1
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Latest results of Notts County
    14.02.2026 Bromley - Notts County 1:1
    07.02.2026 Notts County - Barrow 2:1
    03.02.2026 Notts County - Gillingham 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Notts Co (5)Chesterfield (6)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Salford (4)Grimsby (7)2 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Notts Co (5)Salford (4)3 : 0
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