St. Pauli vs Stuttgart: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga
Soccer German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Stuttgart
Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
St. Pauli - Stuttgart - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.222.82
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
74% (196/265)88% (557/631)
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.222.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.083.23
Total shots
621
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
317
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1239
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
74% (196/265)88% (557/631)
Long passes
33% (18/54)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
53% (25/47)72% (130/180)
Crosses
15% (2/13)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.192.30
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
1712
Tackles
56% (10/18)30% (3/10)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
4322
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
3.230.08
Goals prevented
2.230.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Chabot J. 🟨,
  • 38', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Boukhalfa C. 🟨,
  • 54', Stiller A. 🟨,
  • 57', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
  • 58', Woltemade N. (Pen),
  • 63', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
  • 65', Stenzel P. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
  • 66', Chabot J. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
  • 68', Undav D. 🟨,
  • 73', Leweling J. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
  • 73', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 78', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
  • 84', Sinani D. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Woltemade N. ⚽,
  • 90+1', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
  • 90+6', Vasilj N. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Vasilj N. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Sinani D. ↓, Voll B. A. ↑,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
34.4%		Draw
27.6%		Stuttgart
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 27.4% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 27.3% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
    •

    St. Pauli - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.78 ↓
    (2.95)    		 3.48 ↓
    (3.51)    		 2.53 ↑
    (2.4)    		 4.3%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Stuttgart?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 17 - 47.2%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 30.9% – 63.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Stuttgart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Metcalfe C. (Red Card) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Chase A. (Groin Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Millot E. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Thigh Injury) Stergiou L. (Leg Injury) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stuttgart: Toure E. B. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Stuttgart were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 0:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺
    20.04.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    25.04.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 0:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 4:4 ✺
    13.04.2025 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Bochum - Stuttgart 0:4 ✺
    02.04.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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