Stuttgart vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Stuttgart - St. Pauli
Result
2:0
19/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
Stuttgart - St. Pauli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.17
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
87% (454/522)77% (337/440)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.120.71
Total shots
179
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
87% (454/522)77% (337/440)
Long passes
44% (20/45)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
71% (85/119)49% (40/81)
Crosses
25% (3/12)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.72
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
1315
Tackles
50% (7/14)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5742
Clearances
2419
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.713.12
Goals prevented
0.711.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Stiller A. (Pen),
  • 40', Sands J. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Demirovic E. , Leweling J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 0, El Khannouss B. , Demirovic E. (A),
  • 62', Hountondji A. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 62', Pereira Lage M. , Kaars M. ,
  • 67', Afolayan O. 🟨,
  • 73', Tomas T. , Fuhrich C. ,
  • 74', Sinani D. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 82', Dzwigala A. , Ritzka L. ,
  • 82', Saliakas M. , Pyrka A. ,
  • 85', Demirovic E. , Bouanani B. ,
  • 85', Mittelstadt M. , Hendriks R. ,
  • 90+2', Andres C. , Karazor A. ,
  • 90+2', Leweling J. , Nartey N. ,

Chances of winning


Stuttgart
74.5%
Draw
20%
St. Pauli
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 23.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 25.6% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuttgart that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stuttgart - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.66)
    7.02
    (4.12)
    27.95
    (4.88)
    -22.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Stuttgart - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 54.4%82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 4 - 66.7%). St. Pauli (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.
    • Stuttgart has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • St. Pauli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Stuttgart has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Stuttgart is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Bredlow F. (Knee Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury) Stergiou L. (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Ceesay A. (Foot Injury) Irvine J. (Muscle Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jaquez L. (Broken nose)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - St. Pauli were as follows:
    03.05.2025 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 0:1
    21.12.2024 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 0:1
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440018:31512
    2RB Leipzig43016:7-19
    3Dortmund32108:357
    4FC Koln42119:727
    5St. Pauli42117:617
    6Eintracht Frankfurt32018:536
    7Freiburg42028:806
    8Stuttgart42025:506
    9Hoffenheim42028:10-26
    10Wolfsburg31207:525
    11Bayer Leverkusen31117:614
    12Mainz41125:414
    13Werder Bremen41128:10-24
    14Hamburger SV41122:8-64
    15Augsburg41037:10-33
    16Union Berlin31024:8-43
    17B. Monchengladbach30120:5-51
    18Heidenheim40042:9-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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