Stuttgart vs Heidenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Stuttgart - Heidenheim
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Stuttgart - Heidenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.37
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
86% (534/619)71% (248/348)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.470.08
Total shots
185
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
208
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
86% (534/619)71% (248/348)
Long passes
48% (19/40)41% (33/80)
Passes in final third
76% (153/201)45% (35/77)
Crosses
23% (5/22)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.85
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1112
Tackles
80% (12/15)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4843
Clearances
3339
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.080.47
Goals prevented
0.08-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
  • 56', Karazor A. , Stiller A. ,
  • 56', Jaquez L. , Al Dakhil A. ,
  • 57', Bouanani B. , Tomas T. ,
  • 64', Kerber L. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 0, El Khannouss B. , Mittelstadt M. (A),
  • 74', Dorsch N. , Schimmer S. ,
  • 80', Kerber L. , Busch M. ,
  • 80', Niehues J. , Wagner Y. ,
  • 89', Kaufmann M. , Weigel T. ,
  • 89', Ibrahimovic A. , Kolle A. ,
  • 90', Leweling J. , Hendriks R. ,
  • 90', El Khannouss B. , Nartey N. ,

Chances of winning


Stuttgart
66.4%
Draw
19.3%
Heidenheim
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 19.9% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 19.2% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Stuttgart - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.48)
    4.98
    (4.82)
    6.79
    (6.11)
    4.2%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Stuttgart - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 55.3%85.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Stuttgart (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Stuttgart is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F. (Muscle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Pieringer M. (Ankle Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Injury) Honsak M. (Muscle Injury) Kaufmann M. (Injury) Keller T. (Knee Injury) Mainka P. (Injury) Schimmer S. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - Heidenheim were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 0:1
    15.12.2024 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 1:3
    31.03.2024 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 3:3
    05.11.2023 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 2:0
    24.03.2023 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 2:0
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    02.10.2025 Basel - Stuttgart 2:0
    28.09.2025 Köln - Stuttgart 1:2
    25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    27.09.2025 Heidenheim - Augsburg 2:1
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1
    30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Stuttgart64028:6212
    5Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    6FC Koln631211:9210
    7Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    8Freiburg62229:908
    9Hamburger SV62226:8-28
    10St. Pauli62138:9-17
    11Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    12Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    13Union Berlin62138:13-57
    14Augsburg620411:13-26
    15Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    16Mainz61145:10-54
    17B. Monchengladbach60335:12-73
    18Heidenheim61054:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Stuttgart - Heidenheim?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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