Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon
Result
0:2
22/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)
Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.50
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1115
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
37
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
88
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1324
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Fouls
88
Yellow Cards
20
Total Passes
369566
Completed Passes
306490
Crosses Completed
43
Interceptions
115

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Santos N. , Catamo G. (A),
  • 39', Yalcouye M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Gyokeres V. , Debast Z. (A),
  • 56', Esgaio R. , Matheus Reis ,
  • 59', Geyrhofer N. , Johnston M. ,
  • 59', Jatta S. , Zvonarek L. ,
  • 70', Braganca D. , Morita H. ,
  • 70', Araujo M. , Goncalves P. ,
  • 70', Debast Z. , St. Juste J. ,
  • 70', Horvat T. , Yardimci E. ,
  • 84', Santos N. , Quenda G. ,
  • 90', Lavalee D. , Schopp K. ,
  • 90', Biereth M. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 90+4', Yardimci E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
11.8%
Draw
18.3%
Sporting Lisbon
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.4% 18.5% 69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12% 17.9% 71.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.2
    (7.74)
    5.28
    (5.16)
    1.38
    (1.38)
    3.8%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 10 - 10.6%). Sporting will win (votes: 81 - 86.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 79.2%93.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Wörthersee Stadion.
    • Sturm is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sporting is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sporting is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Gorenc Stankovic J. (Forearm injury) Wuthrich G. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Diomande O. (Ankle Injury) Edwards M. (Muscle Injury) Quaresma E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Matheus Reis (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    14.12.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Sturm Graz 3:0
    21.09.2023 Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
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    franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
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    hungaryHungaryRTL+
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    romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1 Champions
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
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