Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz
Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 9
  • Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)
Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.78
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
62% (180/292)74% (280/380)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.521.43
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1340
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
138
Passes
62% (180/292)74% (280/380)
Long passes
36% (24/66)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
48% (47/97)68% (113/165)
Crosses
11% (2/19)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.751.15
Throw-ins
3034
Fouls
813
Tackles
61% (14/23)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6455
Clearances
3240
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.430.52
Goals prevented
-0.570.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Jager L. 🟨,
  • 28', Lavalee D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 61', Oermann T. , Mitchell J. ,
  • 61', Jatta S. , Grgic L. ,
  • 63', Aiwu E. 🟨,
  • 72', Hodl J. , Beck J. ,
  • 72', Malone M. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 73', Mustapha S. , Hrstic S. ,
  • 75', Diawara O. 🟨,
  • 76', Greil P. , Yalcin E. ,
  • 79', Ingolitsch S. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Kiteishvili O. (Pen),
  • 86', Ingolitsch F. 🟨,
  • 88', Beck J. 🟨,
  • 90', Jager L. , Oswald M. ,
  • 90', Lukacevic L. , Gugganig L. ,
  • 90+1', Kiteishvili O. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 90+3', Christensen O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, Beganovic B. , Grgic L. (A),

Chances of winning


Rheindorf Altach
31.1%
Draw
28.5%
Sturm Graz
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 26.3% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 26.4% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rheindorf Altach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rheindorf Altach than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (3.15)
    3.27
    (3.62)
    2.37
    (2.19)
    6.1%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz?
  • Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altach won 0.
    • In recent matches, Altach has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sturm is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Altach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sturm is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Altach: Demaku V. (Broken collarbone) Gugganig L. (Injury) Ouedraogo M. (Red Card) Tietietta S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Bendra K. (Inactive) Chukwuani T. (Yellow Cards) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury) Malic A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Altach won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:35. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Altach won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz 1:1
    24.08.2024 Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach 2:1
    10.12.2023 Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach 1:0
    02.09.2023 Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz 1:2
    06.11.2022 Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz 1:1
    Latest results of Rheindorf Altach
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    28.09.2025 Sturm Graz - Hartberg 1:0
    24.09.2025 Midtjylland - Sturm Graz 2:0
    17.09.2025 Röthis - Sturm Graz 0:2
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sturm Graz860214:41018
    2Wolfsberger AC952216:9717
    3SK Rapid952213:9417
    4Salzburg952219:12717
    5Austria Vienna941412:13-113
    6Altach93336:6012
    7Hartberg932414:14011
    8Ried932412:12011
    9BW Linz93157:11-410
    10Tirol823312:14-29
    11LASK92169:17-87
    12Grazer AK90546:19-135

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
    worldWorldOnefootball
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