Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Midtjylland - Sturm Graz
Result
2:0
24/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)
Midtjylland - Sturm Graz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.80
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
80% (315/393)75% (263/352)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.70
Total shots
811
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
80% (315/393)75% (263/352)
Long passes
54% (27/50)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
65% (59/91)59% (49/83)
Crosses
41% (7/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.43
Throw-ins
1936
Fouls
1616
Tackles
75% (15/20)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6965
Clearances
2720
Interceptions
167
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.701.02
Goals prevented
0.700.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Junior Brumado 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Christensen O. (Own goal),
  • 24', Franculino 🟨,
  • 45', Billing P. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Malone M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rozga F. , Hodl J. ,
  • 59', Malone M. , Grgic L. ,
  • 60', Cho Gue-Sung , Simsir A. ,
  • 69', Mbabu K. , Gabriel A. ,
  • 69', Junior Brumado , Chilufya E. ,
  • 71', Aiwu E. 🟨,
  • 73', Jatta S. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 73', Oermann T. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 84', Chukwuani T. , Beck J. ,
  • 88', Franculino , Byskov V. ,
  • 89', 2 - 0, Diao O. , Simsir A. (A),

Chances of winning


Midtjylland
57.8%
Draw
21.5%
Sturm Graz
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 23.3% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 22.8% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Midtjylland - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.74)
    4.44
    (4.11)
    4.68
    (4.4)
    4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Sturm Graz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (47 of 52 users predict this - 90.38%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.37%98.39%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Midtjylland will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Midtjylland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Midtjylland is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Midtjylland: Dani Silva (Injury) Ejeheri O. (Surgery) Gogorza M. (Muscle Injury) Osorio D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Beck J. (Inactive) Borkovic A. (Inactive) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury) Malic A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Gorenc Stankovic J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    03.11.2022 Midtjylland - Sturm Graz 2:0
    08.09.2022 Sturm Graz - Midtjylland 1:0
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    20.09.2025 Midtjylland - Viborg 2:0
    17.09.2025 Aalborg BK - Midtjylland 0:3
    31.08.2025 Brøndby - Midtjylland 1:3
    28.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Midtjylland 0:2
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    17.09.2025 Röthis - Sturm Graz 0:2
    14.09.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:1
    30.08.2025 Grazer AK - Sturm Graz 0:3
    26.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt 2:1
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Panathinaikos11004:133
    2D. Zagreb11003:123
    3Midtjylland11002:023
    4AS Roma11002:113
    5Ludogorets11002:113
    6Lille11002:113
    7Freiburg11002:113
    8Stuttgart11002:113
    9Genk11001:013
    10Lyon11001:013
    11FC Porto11001:013
    12FCSB11001:013
    13Aston Villa11001:013
    14Braga11001:013
    15Nottingham10102:201
    16Betis10102:201
    17Plzen10101:101
    18Celtic10101:101
    19Crvena zvezda10101:101
    20Ferencvaros10101:101
    21PAOK10100:001
    22Maccabi Tel Aviv10100:001
    23Celta Vigo10011:2-10
    24Brann10011:2-10
    25Basel10011:2-10
    26Nice10011:2-10
    27Malmo FF10011:2-10
    28Bologna10010:1-10
    29Salzburg10010:1-10
    30Feyenoord10010:1-10
    31Utrecht10010:1-10
    32Rangers10010:1-10
    33G.A. Eagles10010:1-10
    34Fenerbahce10011:3-20
    35Sturm Graz10010:2-20
    36Young Boys10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Midtjylland - Sturm Graz?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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