Sturm Graz vs Hartberg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Sturm Graz - Hartberg
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Sturm Graz - Hartberg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
62.1%
Draw
21.2%
Hartberg
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 22.4% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 21.7% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Sturm Graz - Hartberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.53)
    4.43
    (4)
    5.61
    (4.75)
    5.9%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Hartberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sturm is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Sturm will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Hartberg were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Hartberg - Sturm Graz 1:2
    11.08.2024 Sturm Graz - Hartberg 2:0
    05.05.2024 Sturm Graz - Hartberg 1:1
    14.04.2024 Hartberg - Sturm Graz 1:3
    10.03.2024 Hartberg - Sturm Graz 1:1
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    17.09.2025 Röthis - Sturm Graz 0:2
    14.09.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:1
    30.08.2025 Grazer AK - Sturm Graz 0:3
    26.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt 2:1
    Latest results of Hartberg
    20.09.2025 Hartberg - Wolfsberger 2:2
    14.09.2025 Ried - Hartberg 0:2
    31.08.2025 Hartberg - Rapid Wien 0:1
    27.08.2025 ATUS Velden - Hartberg 0:3
    24.08.2025 Austria Wien - Hartberg 1:3
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SK Rapid752011:4717
    2Sturm Graz640211:4712
    3Altach73316:3312
    4Wolfsberger AC732212:8411
    5Salzburg732215:10511
    6Hartberg731311:10110
    7Austria Vienna73139:11-210
    8Tirol623111:1019
    9Ried721410:12-27
    10LASK72056:13-76
    11BW Linz71155:11-64
    12Grazer AK70435:16-114

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )

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