Sturm Graz vs Glasgow Rangers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Merkur-Arena (Graz).

: Europa League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	1.80
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
16	16
Shots on target
8	10
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
73% (228/311)	83% (367/440)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	1.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.72	2.26
Total shots
16	16
Shots on target
8	10
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
15	13
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
25	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
13	20
Passes
73% (228/311)	83% (367/440)
Long passes
29% (14/49)	48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
60% (58/96)	70% (87/125)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	1.29
Throw-ins
30	30
Fouls
20	13
Tackles
56% (9/16)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
43	59
Clearances
39	31
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
10	7
xGOT faced
2.26	1.72
Goals prevented
1.26	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Horvat T. ⚽, Malone M. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Meghoma J. ↓, Aarons M. ↑,
46', Antman O. ↓, Miovski B. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Gassama D. ⚽, Raskin N. (A),
59', Beganovic B. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
68', Oermann T. 🟨,
68', Barron C. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
73', Malone M. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
73', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
73', Oermann T. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
79', Cornelius D. ↓, Moore M. ↑,
83', Horvat T. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,
83', Aasgaard T. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
90+4', Karic E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sturm Graz
48.1%

Draw
25.8%

Glasgow Rangers
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz's performance.

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glasgow Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glasgow Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sturm Graz - Glasgow Rangers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.46)	3.86 ↑ (3.63)	3.87 ↑ (2.81)	0.3% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Glasgow Rangers?

Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (51 of 61 users predict this - 83.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.32% – 92.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sturm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Rangers has had a series of home games.
Sturm is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury) Kiteishvili O. (Inactive) Malic A. (Injury)
There will not play in Rangers: Cameron L. (Injury) Diomande M. (Red Card) Matondo R. (Knee Injury) Nsiala C. (Inactive) Sterling D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Sturm: Rozga F. (Injury)
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Glasgow Rangers?

Sturm Graz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Glasgow Rangers won against Sturm Graz?

Glasgow Rangers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Glasgow Rangers were as follows:

Latest results of Sturm Graz

28.09.2025 Sturm Graz - Hartberg 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Midtjylland - Sturm Graz 2:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Röthis - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Glasgow Rangers

28.09.2025 Livingston - Glasgow Rangers 1:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Genk 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Hibernian 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Hearts 0:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Celtic 0:0 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
7	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
9	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
13	Celta Vigo	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
15	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
22	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
23	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
25	Nottingham	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
26	Crvena zvezda	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - Glasgow Rangers?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 8
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	TSN Malta 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Rangers TV, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus