Strasbourg vs Nantes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Nantes
Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
Strasbourg - Nantes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.31
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
88% (393/445)84% (394/471)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.770.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.18
Total shots
159
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
911
Passes
88% (393/445)84% (394/471)
Long passes
57% (20/35)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
74% (92/124)67% (38/57)
Crosses
17% (4/24)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.27
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
119
Tackles
70% (14/20)50% (9/18)
Duels won
4357
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.181.37
Goals prevented
0.180.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Awaziem C. 🟨,
  • 41', Omobamidele A. , Barco V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nanasi S. , Emegha E. ,
  • 54', Coquelin F. 🟨,
  • 56', Guirassy B. , Abline M. ,
  • 56', Coquelin F. , Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ,
  • 64', Paez K. , Moreira D. ,
  • 65', El Mourabet S. , Bakwa D. ,
  • 66', Doukoure I. 🟨,
  • 71', Leroux L. , Hong Hyun-Seok ,
  • 75', Lemarechal F. , Luis R. ,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Emegha E. , Bakwa D. (A),
  • 85', Lepenant J. , Tabibou D. ,
  • 85', Benhattab Y. , El Arabi Y. ,
  • 90+5', Panichelli J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
53.6%
Draw
26.8%
Nantes
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.4% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.5% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Strasbourg - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.83)
    3.58
    (3.5)
    4.83
    (4)
    4.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.3%95.94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Strasbourg will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 4.
    • Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nantes is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Strasbourg has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Nantes has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Strasbourg is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Coulibaly S. (Calf Injury) Moreira D. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M. (Injury) Centonze F. (Injury) Lahdo M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Amougou M. (Injury) Doue G. (Injury) Penders M. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Nantes were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Nantes - Strasbourg 0:1
    27.10.2024 Strasbourg - Nantes 3:1
    16.03.2024 Nantes - Strasbourg 1:3
    06.10.2023 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:2
    07.05.2023 Nantes - Strasbourg 0:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    21.08.2025 Strasbourg - Brøndby 0:0
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1
    09.08.2025 Mainz - Strasbourg 0:0
    06.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Strasbourg 2:3
    02.08.2025 Heidenheim - Strasbourg Canceled
    Latest results of Nantes
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    02.08.2025 Angers - Nantes 1:0
    26.07.2025 Nantes - Rennes 1:3
    19.07.2025 Nantes - Guingamp 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG440010:3712
    2Lille431013:5810
    3Monaco43018:539
    4Lyon43016:339
    5Strasbourg43015:329
    6Rennes42115:6-17
    7Marseille42029:456
    8Nice42025:506
    9Lens42025:506
    10Toulouse42027:8-16
    11Paris FC42027:9-26
    12Angers41213:305
    13Le Havre41035:7-23
    14Nantes41031:3-23
    15Auxerre41033:6-33
    16Lorient41035:12-73
    17Brest40135:10-51
    18Metz40133:8-51

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Strasbourg - Nantes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 4
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalSport TV5
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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