Stoke City vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Stoke City - Luton Town
Result
1:1
08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
Stoke City - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.03
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
68% (191/279)74% (225/304)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.390.46
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1430
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
68% (191/279)74% (225/304)
Long passes
25% (14/55)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
49% (41/84)71% (99/140)
Crosses
42% (5/12)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.75
Fouls
1213
Tackles
47% (9/19)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5656
Clearances Total
4936
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.460.39
Goals prevented
-0.65-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', McGuinness M. 🟨,
  • 17', Doughty A. , Alli M. ,
  • 42', Morris C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
  • 50', Bae J. 🟨,
  • 62', Thompson J. , Pearson B. ,
  • 62', Manhoef M. , Al Hamadi A. ,
  • 70', Walsh L. , Dabo L. ,
  • 70', Morris C. , Nordas L. ,
  • 71', Makosso C. , Burke R. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Baker L. ,
  • 82', Chong T. , Bowler J. ,
  • 86', Gallagher S. , Koumas L. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Alli M. , Clark J. (A),

Chances of winning


Stoke City 38.9%Draw 30.2%Luton Town 31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Stoke City 43.4%Draw 27.2%Luton Town 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Stoke City 45.4%Draw 28.5%Luton Town 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Stoke City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.18)
    3.12
    (3.48)
    3.08
    (3.21)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Stoke City - Luton Town?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury) Stevens E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury) Nakamba M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Burger W. (Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Adebayo E. (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Stoke won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Luton Town were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Luton Town - Stoke City 2:1
    04.02.2023 Luton Town - Stoke City 1:0
    08.11.2022 Stoke City - Luton Town 2:0
    Latest results of Stoke City
    Latest results of Luton Town
    05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0
    11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leeds ✔ 462913495:3065100
    2Burnley ✔ 462816269:1653100
    3Sheffield Utd ✔ 462881063:362790
    4Sunderland ✔ 4621131258:441476
    5Coventry462091764:58669
    6Bristol City4617171259:55468
    7Blackburn461991853:48566
    8Millwall4618121647:49-266
    9West Brom4615191257:471064
    10Middlesbrough4618101864:56864
    11Swansea4617101951:56-561
    12Sheffield Wed4615131860:69-958
    13Norwich4614151771:68357
    14Watford461692153:61-857
    15QPR4614141853:63-1056
    16Portsmouth4614122058:71-1354
    17Oxford Utd4613141949:65-1653
    18Stoke4612151945:62-1751
    19Derby4613112248:56-850
    20Preston4610201648:59-1150
    21Hull4612132144:54-1049
    22Luton4613102345:69-2449
    23Plymouth4611132251:88-3746
    24Cardiff ✔ 469172048:73-2544

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Leeds is Qualified for Premier League
    Burnley is Qualified for Premier League
    Sheffield Utd is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Sunderland is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Cardiff is Relegated to League One
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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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