Stjarnan vs Keflavík: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Icelandic Cup Stjarnan - Keflavík
Result
4:2
18/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Icelandic Cup - Quarter-finals
Stjarnan - Keflavík - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
97
Corner Kicks
98
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
98
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Ragnarsson E. , Sigfusson K. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Atlason E. ,
  • 31', 1 - 2, Magnusson A. , Sigfusson K. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 2, Gunnarsson J. , Atlason E. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 2, Waren B. , Orvarsson O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 4 - 2, Orvarsson O. ,
  • 54', Mudrazija M. 🟨,
  • 62', Waren B. , Brink H. O. ,
  • 62', Atlason E. , Bjarnason A. ,
  • 68', Mudrazija M. , Bjarnason E. ,
  • 68', Fridriksson S. , Saevarsson G. ,
  • 68', Ragnarsson E. , Osmani E. ,
  • 78', Sigfusson K. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 79', Eggertsson O. , Birgisson A. ,
  • 83', Elvarsson F. , Hakonarson V. ,
  • 87', Thorisson T. , Kristjansson G. ,
  • 87', Gunnarsson J. , Gudlaugsson B. ,
  • 90+3', Orvarsson O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stjarnan
63.8%
Draw
19.8%
Keflavík
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 18.4% 10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3% 17.3% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stjarnan's form might have worsened.
  • Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keflavík's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stjarnan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keflavík, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stjarnan - Keflavík Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.3)
    4.78
    (5)
    5.77
    (8.65)
    5.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Stjarnan - Keflavík?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Stjarnan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Stjarnan is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:19. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - Keflavík were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Stjarnan - Keflavík 1:4
    03.09.2023 Stjarnan - Keflavík 3:0
    11.06.2023 Keflavík - Stjarnan 1:1
    18.05.2023 Stjarnan - Keflavík 4:0
    04.09.2022 Stjarnan - Keflavík 0:2
    Latest results of Stjarnan
    14.06.2025 Stjarnan - Valur 3:2
    01.06.2025 KA Akureyri - Stjarnan 1:1
    29.05.2025 Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík 4:2
    24.05.2025 Vestri - Stjarnan 3:1
    Latest results of Keflavík
    14.06.2025 Völsungur - Keflavík 1:1
    09.06.2025 Keflavík - Fylkir 1:1
    30.05.2025 Keflavík - HK Kópavogur 0:3
    18.05.2025 Thor Akureyri - Keflavík 2:4
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1KR ReykjavikBye
    3VaengirsKA Asvellir1 : 2
    4SR ReykjavikKFR2 : 3
    5VestmannaeyjarBye
    8ByeVikingur Reykjavik
    9KFG GardabaerReynir2 : 3
    10ByeGrindavik
    12ByeValur
    13FjallabyggdTindastoll3 : 5
    14VolsungurDalvik/Reynir4 : 2
    15ThrotturBye
    16YmirHafnir3 : 4
    17KariKFS7 : 1
    18ArbaerThorlakur4 : 1
    19AegirKV Reykjavik2 : 3
    20ByeFylkir
    21StjarnanBye
    23NjardvikBye
    24BF 108Afrika Reykjavik8 : 0
    25KeflavikBye
    26ByeThrottur Vogar
    27KriaLettir2 : 1
    28ByeLeiknir
    29OlafsvikBye
    30SmariFalkar4 : 0
    31HamarSkallagrimur1 : 3
    32UlfarnirStokkseyri3 : 0
    33BreidablikBye
    35AlafossRB Keflavik3 : 4
    36ByeFjolnir
    37VestriBye
    39KopavogurBye
    40IBUHviti0 : 6
    41IH HafnarfjordurKH Hlidarendi4 : 1
    42ByeSelfoss
    43KFK KopavogurEllidi1 : 5
    44AlftanesHaukar0 : 3
    45Thor AkureyriBye
    46MagniKormakur/Hvot4 : 2
    47ArborgAugnablik0 : 4
    48ByeIR Reykjavik
    49GrottaBye
    50VidirIsafjordur2 : 0
    52ByeAkranes
    53AftureldingBye
    55EinherjiSindri0 : 2
    56ByeHottur / Huginn
    57KA AkureyriBye
    59KFABye
    60SpyrnirNeisti5 : 0
    61FramBye
    64ByeHafnarfjordur

    1/32-finals
    1KR ReykjavikBye
    2KA AsvellirKFR3 : 2
    3VestmannaeyjarBye
    4ByeVikingur Reykjavik
    5ReynirGrindavik0 : 5
    6ByeValur
    7TindastollVolsungur1 : 2
    8ThrotturHafnir7 : 0
    9KariArbaer8 : 1
    10KV ReykjavikFylkir1 : 6
    11StjarnanBye
    12NjardvikBF 1085 : 0
    13KeflavikThrottur Vogar6 : 0
    14KriaLeiknir0 : 5
    15OlafsvikSmari5 : 1
    16SkallagrimurUlfarnir1 : 2
    17BreidablikBye
    18RB KeflavikFjolnir0 : 4
    19VestriBye
    20KopavogurHviti4 : 0
    21IH HafnarfjordurSelfoss2 : 5
    22EllidiHaukar1 : 3
    23Thor AkureyriMagni7 : 0
    24AugnablikIR Reykjavik0 : 5
    25GrottaVidir2 : 1
    26ByeAkranes
    27AftureldingBye
    28SindriHottur / Huginn0 : 1
    29KA AkureyriBye
    30KFASpyrnir3 : 0
    31FramBye
    32ByeHafnarfjordur

    1/16-finals
    1KR ReykjavikKA Asvellir11 : 0
    2VestmannaeyjarVikingur Reykjavik3 : 0
    3GrindavikValur1 : 3
    4VolsungurThrottur2 : 3
    5KariFylkir2 : 1
    6StjarnanNjardvik5 : 3
    7KeflavikLeiknir1 : 0
    8OlafsvikUlfarnir7 : 1
    9BreidablikFjolnir5 : 0
    10VestriKopavogur4 : 3
    11SelfossHaukar4 : 0
    12Thor AkureyriIR Reykjavik3 : 1
    13GrottaAkranes1 : 4
    14AftureldingHottur / Huginn5 : 0
    15KA AkureyriKFA4 : 0
    16FramHafnarfjordur1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1KR ReykjavikVestmannaeyjar2 : 4
    2ValurThrottur2 : 1
    3KariStjarnan2 : 3
    4KeflavikOlafsvik5 : 2
    5BreidablikVestri1 : 2
    6SelfossThor Akureyri1 : 4
    7AkranesAfturelding0 : 1
    8KA AkureyriFram2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1VestmannaeyjarValur0 : 1
    2StjarnanKeflavik4 : 2
    3VestriThor Akureyri2 : 0
    4AftureldingFram0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ValurStjarnan3 : 1
    2VestriFram
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