Stabæk vs Kristiansund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Norwegian NM Cup Stabæk - Kristiansund
Result
2:3 penalties
25/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NM Cup - Quarter-finals
Stabæk - Kristiansund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
113
Corner Kicks
117
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Total shots
166
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
117
Goalkeeper Saves
19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Lankhof-Dahlby M. , Spiten-Nysaeter O. (A),
  • 15', Igor W. 🟨,
  • 24', Hoffmann I. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Odegard N. , Alte R. (A),
  • 34', Igor W. 🟨,
  • 39', Isaksen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hoffmann I. , Williamsen M. ,
  • 52', Danso E. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Spiten-Nysaeter O. , Ellegaard F. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 2, Tufekcic D. , Isah M. (A),
  • 72', Kilen S. , Ndour A. ,
  • 72', Tufekcic D. , Corlu R. ,
  • 79', Danso E. , Matic A. ,
  • 79', Skjelvik J. , Andresen A. ,
  • 79', Ellegaard F. , Diabate B. ,
  • 83', Lankhof-Dahlby M. 🟨,
  • 86', Isaksen J. , Onsrud K. ,
  • 86', Lankhof-Dahlby M. , Geelmuyden H. ,
  • 90', Riise F. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Pedersen K. , Nielsen M. ,
  • 91', Odegard N. , Haugen H. ,
  • 96', Rakneberg M. , Flex F. ,
  • 108', Williamsen M. , Alemseged A. ,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Ndour A. (Pen),
  • 1, Naess N. (Pen),
  • 2, Corlu R. (Pen),
  • 2, Geelmuyden H. (Pen),
  • 3, Isah M. (Pen),
  • 3, Onsrud K. (Pen),
  • 4, Alemseged A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Stabæk
32.2%
Draw
24.3%
Kristiansund
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 27.1% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 26.5% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansund's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Stabæk - Kristiansund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.71)
    3.74
    (3.46)
    2.16
    (2.44)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Stabæk - Kristiansund?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kristiansund will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kristiansund will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 3.
    • Stabæk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kristiansund has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kristiansund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    Latest results of Stabæk
    21.06.2025 Start - Stabæk 5:1
    18.06.2025 Stabæk - Egersund 1:3
    15.06.2025 Aalesunds - Stabæk 2:2
    31.05.2025 Stabæk - Kongsvinger 2:2
    24.05.2025 Raufoss - Stabæk 1:0
    Latest results of Kristiansund
    22.06.2025 Kristiansund - Rosenborg 4:1
    01.06.2025 Brann - Kristiansund 4:2
    21.05.2025 Molde - Kristiansund 3:4
    16.05.2025 Molde - Kristiansund 0:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1NHHISandviken1 : 3
    2Volda TISogndal1 : 2
    3ElverumSK Gjovik-Lyn2 : 0
    4RidabuKongsvinger0 : 12
    5MelboSortland0 : 1
    6UlfstindTromsdalen0 : 3
    7Trygg/LadeStrindheim0 : 1
    8RindalRosenborg1 : 11
    9FK KvikStjordals Blink0 : 1
    10Sverresborg IFRanheim2 : 4
    11VindbjartJerv0 : 3
    12EigerEgersund1 : 7
    13Gamle OsloValerenga2 : 1
    14Sprint-JeloySarpsborg 080 : 4
    15OrnArendal2 : 1
    16TeieSandefjord0 : 5
    17NordstrandUll/Kisa3 : 4
    18RollonAalesund0 : 3
    19JunkerenHarstad2 : 1
    20InnstrandensBodo/Glimt0 : 8
    21OppsalKjelsas0 : 1
    22RadeLyn1 : 2
    23FriggLorenskog1 : 3
    24LillehammerHamKam0 : 2
    25OS TFFana4 : 2
    26GneistLysekloster0 : 2
    27Djerv 1919Sotra2 : 3
    28AskoyAsane1 : 5
    29UllernFollo2 : 5
    30Kvik HaldenMoss1 : 3
    31BroddFlekkeroy1 : 3
    32HanaViking0 : 6
    33FramEik-Tonsberg4 : 1
    34NotoddenStabaek0 : 3
    35VidarSandnes2 : 0
    36NordHaugesund0 : 11
    37BjorkelangenStrommen1 : 6
    38BrumunddalRaufoss1 : 4
    39AssidenMjondalen1 : 4
    40KonnerudStromsgodset0 : 5
    41VerdalLevanger0 : 8
    42MosjoenRana FK0 : 4
    43SpjelkavikTraeff0 : 2
    44ElnesvagenMolde0 : 7
    45BjornevatnAlta0 : 11
    46Union Carl BernerSkeid0 : 3
    47ByasenNardo3 : 5
    48MelhusKristiansund1 : 5
    49Baerum SportsklubbGrorud3 : 4
    50BrattvagHodd1 : 2
    51SkedsmoEidsvold TF0 : 5
    52SkjettenLillestrom0 : 5
    53HonefossPors0 : 1
    54VagStart2 : 4
    55FlintOdd3 : 2
    56Sarpsborg FKFredrikstad0 : 4
    57TorvastadV. Haugesund2 : 0
    58VarhaugBryne0 : 4
    59FjoraBjarg1 : 3
    60VareggBrann0 : 6
    61SkjervoyFloya2 : 1
    62HamnaTromso0 : 10
    63ReadyAsker4 : 3
    64GreiKFUM Oslo1 : 5

    1/32-finals
    1SandvikenSogndal0 : 4
    2ElverumKongsvinger2 : 7
    3SortlandTromsdalen0 : 5
    4StrindheimRosenborg0 : 3
    5Stjordals BlinkRanheim1 : 2
    6JervEgersund0 : 1
    7Gamle OsloSarpsborg 081 : 6
    8OrnSandefjord0 : 2
    9Ull/KisaAalesund2 : 3
    10JunkerenBodo/Glimt1 : 5
    11KjelsasLyn0 : 3
    12LorenskogHamKam0 : 1
    13OS TFLysekloster5 : 4
    14SotraAsane0 : 2
    15FolloMoss2 : 3
    16FlekkeroyViking0 : 3
    17FramStabaek0 : 4
    18VidarHaugesund1 : 2
    19StrommenRaufoss2 : 1
    20MjondalenStromsgodset2 : 1
    21LevangerRana FK1 : 2
    22TraeffMolde1 : 2
    23AltaSkeid3 : 0
    24NardoKristiansund1 : 4
    25GrorudHodd3 : 1
    26Eidsvold TFLillestrom0 : 2
    27PorsStart3 : 2
    28FlintFredrikstad0 : 5
    29TorvastadBryne1 : 2
    30BjargBrann0 : 2
    31SkjervoyTromso0 : 1
    32ReadyKFUM Oslo0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1SogndalKongsvinger3 : 4
    2TromsdalenRosenborg0 : 5
    3RanheimEgersund2 : 3
    4Sarpsborg 08Sandefjord3 : 1
    5AalesundBodo/Glimt1 : 0
    6LynHamKam0 : 2
    7OS TFAsane1 : 4
    8MossViking0 : 1
    9StabaekHaugesund2 : 1
    10StrommenMjondalen1 : 3
    11Rana FKMolde0 : 4
    12AltaKristiansund0 : 4
    13GrorudLillestrom2 : 3
    14PorsFredrikstad1 : 3
    15BryneBrann2 : 1
    16TromsoKFUM Oslo0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1KongsvingerRosenborg2 : 3
    2EgersundSarpsborg 081 : 3
    3AalesundHamKam3 : 2
    4AsaneViking0 : 7
    5StabaekMjondalen4 : 3
    6MoldeKristiansund3 : 4
    7LillestromFredrikstad2 : 1
    8BryneKFUM Oslo0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1RosenborgSarpsborg 082 : 3
    2AalesundViking0 : 1
    3StabaekKristiansund2 : 3
    4LillestromKFUM Oslo2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sarpsborg 08Viking
    2KristiansundLillestrom

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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