St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS
Soccer MLS St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City
Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.49
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (309/368)85% (389/460)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.58
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1833
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
84% (309/368)85% (389/460)
Long passes
54% (26/48)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
55% (35/64)76% (161/212)
Crosses
6% (1/17)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.262.56
Throw-ins
119
Fouls
1712
Tackles
89% (8/9)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.581.69
Goals prevented
-1.42-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Pompeu C. ⚽,
  • 31', Voloder R. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Teuchert C. ⚽, Ostrak T. (A), Pompeu C. (A2)
  • 45+2', Salloi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Davis J. ↓, Radoja N. ↑,
  • 46', Thommy E. ↓, Suleymanov S. ↑,
  • 50', Bassong Z. 🟨,
  • 57', Radoja N. ↓, Leibold T. ↑,
  • 60', Teuchert C. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
  • 60', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Leibold T. ⚽, Salloi D. (A),
  • 77', Brody A. ↓, Shelton K. ↑,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Joveljic D. ⚽,
  • 78', Watts A. ↓, Zalinsky J. ↑,
  • 78', Baumgartl T. ↓, Kessler H. ↑,
  • 82', Ostrak T. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
  • 85', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Joveljic D. ↓, Toye M. ↑,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
48.1%		Draw
25.1%		Sporting Kansas City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26.7% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 29% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
    •

    St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.99 ↓
    (2.41)    		 3.79 ↑
    (3.56)    		 3.56 ↑
    (2.8)    		 4.8%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: St. Louis City will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • St. Louis City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Ndenbe L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 2:0
    28.09.2024 St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City 3:1
    20.07.2024 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 1:1
    20.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 3:3
    05.11.2023 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    10.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Diego 1:2 ✺
    07.05.2025 St. Louis City - Union Omaha 2:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City 4:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Los Angeles - St. Louis City 2:2 ✺
    19.04.2025 St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
    10.05.2025 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 1:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City 3:5 ✺
    13.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 2:4 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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