St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO).

: MLS

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	0.78
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	9
Passes
82% (300/364)	83% (334/401)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.31	1.06
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	9
Touches in opposition box
33	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
15	18
Passes
82% (300/364)	83% (334/401)
Long passes
42% (19/45)	47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
69% (65/94)	72% (92/128)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.88
Throw-ins
8	18
Fouls
18	15
Tackles
68% (13/19)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
51	61
Clearances
36	26
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.06	1.31
Goals prevented
0.15	-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Joao Klauss 🟨,
35', Floriani M. 🟨,
41', Teuchert C. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
43', Silva X. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Joao Klauss ⚽, Lowen E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Durkin C. ↓, Kessler H. ↑,
60', Lopez H. ↓, Espinoza C. ↑,
61', Fernandez N. ↓, Leroux B. ↑,
61', Bouda O. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
62', Reid J. ↓, Totland T. ↑,
66', Ricketts J. ↓, Vitor Costa ↑,
73', Zalinsky J. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
73', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
79', Lima N. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Vitor Costa (A), Leroux B. (A2)
90+1', Edwards E. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Lowen E. (Pen),
90+4', Wallem C. 🟨,
90+6', Wallem C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

St. Louis City
53.1%

Draw
22.7%

San Jose Earthquakes
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.34)	4.23 ↑ (3.45)	3.93 ↑ (2.7)	4% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - San Jose (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Louis City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
St. Louis City has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
St. Louis City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in St. Louis City: Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Morales A. (Groin Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Arango C. (Hamstring Injury) Buck N. (Lower-Body Injury) Daniel (Lower-Body Injury) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against San Jose Earthquakes?

St. Louis City has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against St. Louis City?

San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:

21.09.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2

03.07.2024 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0

24.06.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2

18.03.2023 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 3:0

Latest results of St. Louis City

24.05.2025 Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City 1:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:0 ✺

14.05.2025 St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City 2:2 ✺

10.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Diego 1:2 ✺

Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes

28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 3:3 ✺

20.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers 1:0 ✺

17.05.2025 New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes 0:0 ✺

14.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami 3:3 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	29	17	5	7	54:34	20	56
2	Minnesota United	29	14	9	6	48:32	16	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	14	7	6	47:31	16	49
4	Seattle Sounders	27	12	8	7	48:38	10	44
5	Los Angeles FC	26	11	8	7	45:33	12	41
6	Portland Timbers	28	10	9	9	36:38	-2	39
7	Austin FC	27	10	8	9	29:33	-4	38
8	Colorado Rapids	29	10	6	13	38:48	-10	36
9	San Jose Earthquakes	29	9	8	12	53:51	2	35
10	Houston Dynamo	28	8	8	12	37:46	-9	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	4	14	28:36	-8	31
12	FC Dallas	27	7	9	11	39:47	-8	30
13	Sporting Kansas City	28	7	6	15	43:57	-14	27
14	St. Louis City	28	5	6	17	33:50	-17	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	4	7	16	32:55	-23	19

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	29	17	6	6	49:26	23	57
2	FC Cincinnati	29	16	4	9	42:36	6	52
3	Charlotte	29	16	2	11	48:40	8	50
4	Nashville SC	29	15	5	9	49:33	16	50
5	Orlando City	28	13	8	7	54:40	14	47
6	Inter Miami	25	13	7	5	54:40	14	46
7	Columbus Crew	28	12	10	6	43:39	4	46
8	New York City	27	13	5	9	38:32	6	44
9	New York Red Bulls	29	11	7	11	42:38	4	40
10	Chicago Fire	27	11	6	10	50:48	2	39
11	New England Revolution	28	8	7	13	36:40	-4	31
12	Atlanta Utd	28	5	11	12	32:49	-17	26
13	Toronto FC	28	5	10	13	28:35	-7	25
14	CF Montreal	29	5	9	15	29:51	-22	24
15	DC United	29	5	9	15	26:54	-28	24

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC