St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
2:1
31/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.78
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
82% (300/364)83% (334/401)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.06
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
3326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
82% (300/364)83% (334/401)
Long passes
42% (19/45)47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
69% (65/94)72% (92/128)
Crosses
26% (5/19)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.88
Throw-ins
818
Fouls
1815
Tackles
68% (13/19)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
3626
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.061.31
Goals prevented
0.15-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Joao Klauss 🟨,
  • 35', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 41', Teuchert C. , Silva X. ,
  • 43', Silva X. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Joao Klauss , Lowen E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Durkin C. , Kessler H. ,
  • 60', Lopez H. , Espinoza C. ,
  • 61', Fernandez N. , Leroux B. ,
  • 61', Bouda O. , Martinez J. ,
  • 62', Reid J. , Totland T. ,
  • 66', Ricketts J. , Vitor Costa ,
  • 73', Zalinsky J. , Morales A. ,
  • 73', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 79', Lima N. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Martinez J. , Vitor Costa (A), Leroux B. (A2)
  • 90+1', Edwards E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Lowen E. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Wallem C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Wallem C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
53.1%
Draw
22.7%
San Jose Earthquakes
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 26.6% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 28% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.34)
    4.23
    (3.45)
    3.93
    (2.7)
    4%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 42.8%90.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - San Jose (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Louis City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • St. Louis City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Morales A. (Groin Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Arango C. (Hamstring Injury) Buck N. (Lower-Body Injury) Daniel (Lower-Body Injury) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    21.09.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    03.07.2024 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    24.06.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    18.03.2023 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 3:0
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
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