San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City
Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)
San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.73
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
107
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (360/437)77% (252/327)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.232.81
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
1612
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
4124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
82% (360/437)77% (252/327)
Long passes
64% (35/55)46% (31/67)
Passes in final third
82% (140/171)63% (70/112)
Crosses
35% (15/43)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.781.41
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1613
Tackles
90% (9/10)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4149
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
49
xGOT faced
2.813.23
Goals prevented
-0.192.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, McSorley B. , Joao Klauss (A), Durkin C. (A2)
  • 19', 0 - 2, Hartel M. , McSorley B. (A), Durkin C. (A2)
  • 31', 1 - 2, Arango C. (Pen),
  • 45', 1 - 3, McSorley B. , Hartel M. (A), Wallem C. (A2)
  • 45+2', Vieira R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pompeu C. , Joyner M. ,
  • 63', Wilson Valdez B. R. , Martinez J. ,
  • 63', Kaye M. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 72', Judd P. 🟨,
  • 78', McSorley B. , Totland T. ,
  • 79', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 79', Vitor Costa , Ricketts J. ,
  • 79', Judd P. , Leroux B. ,
  • 81', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
  • 81', Becher S. 🟨,
  • 82', Durkin C. , Antwi S. ,
  • 88', Hartel M. , Morales A. ,
  • 89', Espinoza C. , Skahan J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
55.5%
Draw
21.3%
St. Louis City
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 21.3% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 20.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Earthquakes's form might have worsened.
  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.49)
    4.48
    (4.39)
    4.08
    (5.95)
    5.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • San Jose has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Louis City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, San Jose is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Jones D. (Lower-Body Injury) Roberts R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City were as follows:
    31.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    21.09.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    03.07.2024 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    24.06.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    18.03.2023 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 3:0
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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