St. Louis City vs Minnesota United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - Minnesota United
Result
1:2
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
St. Louis City - Minnesota United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.90
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
82% (338/411)82% (333/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.84
Total shots
148
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
82% (338/411)82% (333/407)
Long passes
55% (35/64)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
63% (73/115)62% (61/99)
Crosses
30% (7/23)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.23
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
1312
Tackles
79% (15/19)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.841.06
Goals prevented
-0.160.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Lowen E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Gressel J. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 46', Diaz J. , Lod R. ,
  • 47', Wallem C. 🟨,
  • 56', Markanich A. 🟨,
  • 63', Padelford D. , Durkin C. ,
  • 63', Jeong S. , Becher S. ,
  • 71', Rosales J. , Gene O. ,
  • 73', Durkin C. 🟥,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Yeboah K. (Pen),
  • 77', Lowen E. , Girdwood-Reich J. ,
  • 77', Ostrak T. , Morales A. ,
  • 78', Joao Klauss , Teuchert C. ,
  • 83', Markanich A. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Yeboah K. (Pen),
  • 90+9', Oluwaseyi T. , Hille L. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
37%
Draw
26.1%
Minnesota United
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 27.2% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.3% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • St. Louis City - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.83)
    3.64
    (3.51)
    2.56
    (2.44)
    5.4%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • St. Louis City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Jung Ho-yeon (Knee Injury) Pereyra J. (Yellow Cards) Romero N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Minnesota United were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:2
    17.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:0
    19.10.2024 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 4:1
    14.09.2024 St. Louis City - Minnesota United 1:3
    23.09.2023 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 1:2
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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