St. Louis City vs Minnesota United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - Minnesota United
Result
1:2
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
St. Louis City - Minnesota United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.90
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
82% (338/411)82% (333/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.84
Total shots
148
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
82% (338/411)82% (333/407)
Long passes
55% (35/64)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
63% (73/115)62% (61/99)
Crosses
30% (7/23)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.23
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
1312
Tackles
79% (15/19)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.841.06
Goals prevented
-0.160.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Lowen E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Gressel J. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 46', Diaz J. , Lod R. ,
  • 47', Wallem C. 🟨,
  • 56', Markanich A. 🟨,
  • 63', Padelford D. , Durkin C. ,
  • 63', Jeong S. , Becher S. ,
  • 71', Rosales J. , Gene O. ,
  • 73', Durkin C. 🟥,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Yeboah K. (Pen),
  • 77', Lowen E. , Girdwood-Reich J. ,
  • 77', Ostrak T. , Morales A. ,
  • 78', Joao Klauss , Teuchert C. ,
  • 83', Markanich A. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Yeboah K. (Pen),
  • 90+9', Oluwaseyi T. , Hille L. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
37%
Draw
26.1%
Minnesota United
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 27.2% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.3% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • St. Louis City - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.83)
    3.64
    (3.51)
    2.56
    (2.44)
    5.4%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • St. Louis City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Jung Ho-yeon (Knee Injury) Pereyra J. (Yellow Cards) Romero N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Minnesota United were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:2
    17.05.2025 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 3:0
    19.10.2024 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 4:1
    14.09.2024 St. Louis City - Minnesota United 1:3
    23.09.2023 Minnesota United - St. Louis City 1:2
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Louis City - Minnesota United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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