Melbourne Demons vs St Kilda Saints: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/06/2025 at 01:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TIO Traeger Park (Alice Springs).

: AFL - Round 12

Match Stats


Goals
7	14
Behinds
21	7
Kicks
197	260
Handballs
100	130
Disposals
297	390
Frees For
24	20
Frees Against
20	24
Clearances Completed
32	30
Marks
98	140
Tackles
56	52
Hitouts
32	25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (14 - 38)
03:23, Fritsch B. (G),
05:47, Melksham J. (Behind),
12:11, Hall M. (G),
13:47, Keeler I. (G),
16:22, Keeler I. (Behind),
17:30, Butler D. (G),
20:50, Clark H. (Behind),
22:43, Keeler I. (G),
25:13, Travaglia T. (G),
26:31, Hall M. (G),
29:39, Petracca C. (Behind),
31:39, Melksham J. (G),
2nd Quarter (31 - 20)
02:09, Sharman C. (Behind),
03:14, Johnson A. (Behind),
04:10, Higgins J. (Behind),
05:37, Clark H. (G),
09:10, Lindsay X. (Behind),
09:40, (Behind Rushed),
11:16, Petracca C. (G),
14:44, Chandler K. (G),
16:33, (Behind Rushed),
17:27, Chandler K. (Behind),
18:43, Gawn M. (Behind),
19:50, Butler D. (G),
23:47, Butler D. (G),
25:16, Petracca C. (G),
27:18, Sharp H. (Behind),
29:50, Johnson A. (G),
3rd Quarter (10 - 14)
05:22, Owens M. (Behind),
08:38, McVee J. (Behind),
09:46, (Behind Rushed),
10:55, (Behind Rushed),
13:40, Hill B. (G),
17:36, Petty H. (Behind),
19:25, Petty H. (G),
20:50, Lindsay X. (Behind),
24:08, Butler D. (G),
4th Quarter (8 - 19)
00:41, Turner D. (Behind),
02:28, Melksham J. (Behind),
04:13, Owens M. (G),
08:02, Sharman C. (Behind),
13:00, Lindsay X. (Behind),
13:45, Laurie B. (Behind),
15:04, (Behind Rushed),
18:37, Keeler I. (G),
20:13, McVee J. (Behind),
22:56, Higgins J. (G),
25:03, Salem C. (Behind),
26:58, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Melbourne Demons
64.2%

St Kilda Saints
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Demons's performance.

St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Kilda Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Demons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Kilda Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)		2.6 ↑ (2.18)	7.1% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 5.
Melbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
St Kilda is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, St Kilda has had a series of home games.
Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1705:1696. (average 85.3:84.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 947:937. (average 86.1:85.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against St Kilda Saints?

Melbourne Demons has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Melbourne Demons?

St Kilda Saints has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints were as follows:

26.05.2024 Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints 100:62

08.07.2023 St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons 58:79

Latest results of Melbourne Demons

25.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans 131:78 ✺

18.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons 88:99 ✺

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91 ✺

03.05.2025 West Coast Eagles - Melbourne Demons 76:108 ✺

24.04.2025 Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers 83:63 ✺

Latest results of St Kilda Saints

25.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Gold Coast Suns 61:80 ✺

18.05.2025 West Coast Eagles - St Kilda Saints 108:80 ✺

09.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues 62:77 ✺

02.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Fremantle Dockers 94:33 ✺

25.04.2025 St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions 73:118 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	16	14	0	2	1508:1085	138.99	56
2	Brisbane Lions	16	11	1	4	1436:1252	114.70	46
3	Adelaide Crows	16	11	0	5	1569:1135	138.24	44
4	Geelong Cats	16	11	0	5	1601:1210	132.31	44
5	Hawthorn Hawks	16	11	0	5	1441:1212	118.89	44
6	Western Bulldogs	16	10	0	6	1716:1288	133.23	40
7	Gold Coast Suns	15	10	0	5	1432:1169	122.50	40
8	GWS Giants	16	10	0	6	1405:1255	111.95	40
9	Fremantle Dockers	16	10	0	6	1354:1245	108.76	40
10	Sydney Swans	16	7	0	9	1265:1354	93.43	28
11	Port Adelaide Power	16	7	0	9	1248:1425	87.58	28
12	Carlton Blues	16	6	0	10	1245:1296	96.06	24
13	Essendon Bombers	15	6	0	9	1084:1419	76.39	24
14	Melbourne Demons	16	5	0	11	1253:1446	86.65	20
15	St Kilda Saints	16	5	0	11	1270:1482	85.70	20
16	North Melbourne	16	4	1	11	1237:1601	77.26	18
17	Richmond Tigers	16	3	0	13	1015:1610	63.04	12
18	West Coast Eagles	16	1	0	15	1055:1650	63.94	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3