St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/07/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 20

Match Stats


Goals
15	13
Behinds
6	12
Kicks
204	205
Handballs
151	113
Disposals
355	318
Frees For
16	21
Frees Against
21	16
Clearances Completed
41	40
Marks
96	98
Tackles
60	75
Hitouts
32	58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (13 - 38)
01:02, Caminiti A. (G),
02:32, Langford H. (G),
05:10, Fritsch B. (G),
10:03, Viney J. (G),
11:35, Lindsay X. (G),
15:27, Sharman C. (Behind),
16:24, Fritsch B. (Behind),
18:28, Fritsch B. (G),
24:05, Fritsch B. (Behind),
25:23, Fritsch B. (G),
29:35, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
2nd Quarter (15 - 20)
02:19, Hill B. (Behind),
03:39, Melksham J. (G),
10:17, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
11:48, Chandler K. (G),
15:34, Rivers T. (Behind),
16:37, Petracca C. (Behind),
17:51, Petracca C. (G),
21:48, Higgins J. (G),
23:37, Clark H. (Behind),
24:55, Tauru A. (G),
3rd Quarter (12 - 28)
03:37, Lindsay X. (G),
05:59, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
08:41, Lindsay X. (Behind),
10:45, Pickett K. (G),
15:05, Melksham J. (G),
17:06, Pickett K. (Behind),
18:07, Higgins J. (G),
21:03, Chandler K. (G),
27:28, (Behind Rushed),
32:45, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (56 - 4)
01:15, Higgins J. (G),
02:51, (Behind Rushed),
03:43, Viney J. (Behind),
05:03, Hill B. (G),
06:16, Sharman C. (G),
09:06, Oliver C. (Behind),
11:09, Melksham J. (Behind),
14:24, Steele J. (G),
16:21, Wood M. (G),
18:07, Wood M. (Behind),
21:45, Sharman C. (G),
22:57, Higgins J. (G),
24:04, (Behind Rushed),
29:50, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
32:38, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),

Chances of winning

St Kilda Saints
47.6%

Melbourne Demons
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Kilda Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.14)		1.78 ↑ (1.72)	6.7% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 1.
St Kilda is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Melbourne is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
St Kilda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Melbourne has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1696:1702. (average 84.8:85.1).
Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 759:758. (average 84.3:84.2).

How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Melbourne Demons?

St Kilda Saints has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against St Kilda Saints?

Melbourne Demons has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons were as follows:

01.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints 63:91

26.05.2024 Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints 100:62

08.07.2023 St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons 58:79

Latest results of St Kilda Saints

19.07.2025 Geelong Cats - St Kilda Saints 113:82 ✺

13.07.2025 St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans 87:92 ✺

05.07.2025 St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks 74:94 ✺

29.06.2025 Fremantle Dockers - St Kilda Saints 81:69 ✺

21.06.2025 Collingwood Magpies - St Kilda Saints 108:74 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Demons

19.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 78:70 ✺

12.07.2025 Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos 119:83 ✺

06.07.2025 Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons 90:77 ✺

27.06.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons 104:85 ✺

15.06.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Melbourne Demons 93:68 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
2	Adelaide Crows	19	14	0	5	1918:1314	145.97	56
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	19	13	0	6	1677:1399	119.87	52
6	GWS Giants	19	13	0	6	1722:1454	118.43	52
7	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
8	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
9	Western Bulldogs	19	11	0	8	2033:1533	132.62	44
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Sports 503
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1