St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons
Result
96:90
27/07/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 20
St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1513
Behinds
612
Kicks
204205
Handballs
151113
Disposals
355318
Frees For
1621
Frees Against
2116
Clearances Completed
4140
Marks
9698
Tackles
6075
Hitouts
3258

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (13 - 38)
  • 01:02, Caminiti A. (G),
  • 02:32, Langford H. (G),
  • 05:10, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 10:03, Viney J. (G),
  • 11:35, Lindsay X. (G),
  • 15:27, Sharman C. (Behind),
  • 16:24, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 18:28, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 24:05, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 25:23, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 29:35, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (15 - 20)
  • 02:19, Hill B. (Behind),
  • 03:39, Melksham J. (G),
  • 10:17, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
  • 11:48, Chandler K. (G),
  • 15:34, Rivers T. (Behind),
  • 16:37, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 17:51, Petracca C. (G),
  • 21:48, Higgins J. (G),
  • 23:37, Clark H. (Behind),
  • 24:55, Tauru A. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (12 - 28)
  • 03:37, Lindsay X. (G),
  • 05:59, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
  • 08:41, Lindsay X. (Behind),
  • 10:45, Pickett K. (G),
  • 15:05, Melksham J. (G),
  • 17:06, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 18:07, Higgins J. (G),
  • 21:03, Chandler K. (G),
  • 27:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 32:45, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (56 - 4)
  • 01:15, Higgins J. (G),
  • 02:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:43, Viney J. (Behind),
  • 05:03, Hill B. (G),
  • 06:16, Sharman C. (G),
  • 09:06, Oliver C. (Behind),
  • 11:09, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 14:24, Steele J. (G),
  • 16:21, Wood M. (G),
  • 18:07, Wood M. (Behind),
  • 21:45, Sharman C. (G),
  • 22:57, Higgins J. (G),
  • 24:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:50, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
  • 32:38, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),

Chances of winning


St Kilda Saints
47.6%
Melbourne Demons
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Kilda Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.14)

    1.78
    (1.72)
    6.7%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 168.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 1.
    • St Kilda is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Melbourne is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St Kilda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Melbourne has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1696:1702. (average 84.8:85.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 759:758. (average 84.3:84.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints 63:91
    26.05.2024 Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints 100:62
    08.07.2023 St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons 58:79
    Latest results of St Kilda Saints
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    2Adelaide Crows1914051918:1314145.9756
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks1913061677:1399119.8752
    6GWS Giants1913061722:1454118.4352
    7Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    8Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    9Western Bulldogs1911082033:1533132.6244
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

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