Sportivo Luqueño vs Grêmio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio
Result
1:2
02/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.381.16
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
60% (148/248)76% (331/436)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.381.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.231.76
Total shots
810
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1026
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
60% (148/248)76% (331/436)
Long passes
34% (24/71)35% (24/69)
Passes in final third
49% (45/92)65% (76/117)
Crosses
10% (1/10)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.80
Fouls
1317
Tackles
62% (13/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6567
Clearances Total
2923
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.760.23
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Arezo M. (Pen),
  • 24', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
  • 28', Rios R. D. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Santander F. , Vera E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Vera E. 🟨,
  • 62', Arezo M. , Braithwaite M. ,
  • 62', Rios R. D. , Rodriguez W. ,
  • 62', Santander F. , Gonzalez W. ,
  • 63', Pavon C. , Olivera C. ,
  • 63', Dodi , Edenilson ,
  • 70', Perez M. , Comas L. ,
  • 70', Baez J. , Ayala W. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Braithwaite M. , Olivera C. (A),
  • 76', Torres I. 🟨,
  • 77', Cristaldo F. , Camilo ,
  • 82', Amuzu F. , Aravena A. ,
  • 84', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 88', Vera E. , Hauche G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño 19.1%Draw 26.7%Grêmio 54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Sportivo Luqueño 17.3%Draw 25.2%Grêmio 57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Sportivo Luqueño 16.9%Draw 24.6%Grêmio 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.86
    (5.4)
    3.52
    (3.7)
    1.74
    (1.62)
    6.6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 4
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Grêmio will win! (9 of 10 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Grêmio is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Grêmio
    12.03.2025 Athletic Club - Grêmio 3:4
    08.03.2025 Grêmio - Internacional RS 0:2
    01.03.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 2:2
    22.02.2025 Grêmio - Juventude 2:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani42209:638
    2Independiente42028:626
    3Nacional Potosi41125:6-14
    4Boston River41127:11-44


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica32107:347
    2Cerro Largo31112:3-14
    3Vitoria40312:3-13
    4Defensa y Justicia40312:4-23


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan32107:167
    2America De Cali41305:326
    3Corinthians41214:405
    4Racing Montevideo30031:9-80


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz43107:2510
    2Gremio32106:337
    3Sp. Luqueno40133:7-41
    4Grau30122:6-41


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa33008:359
    2Palestino32016:426
    3Union de Santa Fe31021:5-43
    4Cruzeiro30032:5-30


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense32107:167
    2Once Caldas32015:326
    3U. Espanola30212:4-22
    4GV San Jose30123:9-61


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus31205:235
    2Vasco31204:315
    3FBC Melgar31114:6-24
    4Puerto Cabello30122:4-21


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico-MG31205:145
    2Caracas31205:415
    3Cienciano30304:403
    4Deportes Iquique30123:8-51

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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