Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera B - Apertura - Round 14
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Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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70% | 30% |
Total shots |
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10 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 6 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Total shots |
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10 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 6 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Porro E. ⚽,
- 19', Porro E. 🟨,
- 38', Daivez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Davila M. 🟨,
- 52', Davila M. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
- 53', Daivez A. 🟨,
- 53', Daivez A. 🟥,
- 55', Aguerre F. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
- 55', Cabrera A. ↓, De Cuadro J. ↑,
- 55', Meza A. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
- 67', Ordano A. ↓, Gauna I. ↑,
- 68', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
- 69', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 72', Laborda L. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 73', Porro E. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
- 75', Diaz F. 🟨,
- 86', Casasola N. ↓, Rapp A. ↑,
- 86', Sosa S. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Zeineddin N. ⚽,
- 90+4', Aguirre F. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Gomez F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Merlo 46.7% | Draw 31.8% | Sportivo Italiano 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Merlo's form might have worsened.Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↑ (1.72) |
2.89 ↓ (3.4) |
4.27 ↓ (4.56) |
8.8% (9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 0.
- Deportivo Merlo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sportivo Italiano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sportivo Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Merlo is the team to beat.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Sportivo Italiano?
Deportivo Merlo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Italiano won against Deportivo Merlo?
Sportivo Italiano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano were as follows:
20.07.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
Sportivo Italiano
1:1
02.03.2024
Sportivo Italiano
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Midland | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 27 |
2 | Real Pilar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 26 |
3 | Liniers | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
4 | Villa San Carlos | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Dep. Merlo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Argentino de Quilmes | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 22 |
7 | Dock Sud | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Excursionistas | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 20 |
9 | Acassuso | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Villa Dalmine | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Argentino de Merlo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Comunicaciones | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
13 | Brown Adrogue | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
14 | San Martin Burzaco | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Deportivo Armenio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 18 |
16 | Laferrere | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
17 | Flandria | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
18 | UAI Urquiza | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 14 |
19 | Sportivo Italiano | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
20 | Sacachispas | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 |
21 | Fenix | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Venezuela | DSports 1 |