Sporting Lisbon vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Sporting Lisbon - Lille
Result
2:0
17/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)
Sporting Lisbon - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.59
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
183
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
70
Blocked Shots
51
Free Kicks
2519
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
26
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Fouls
1718
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
478507
Completed Passes
418427
Tackles
1119
Attacks
100110
Dangerous Attacks
3441
Clearances Completed
63
Crosses Completed
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Inacio G. , Matheus Reis ,
  • 21', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Gyokeres V. , Goncalves P. (A),
  • 40', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 40', David J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Morita H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Morita H. , Braganca D. ,
  • 56', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 64', Meunier T. , Santos T. ,
  • 64', David J. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 64', Mandi A. , Bouaddi A. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Debast Z. , Braganca D. (A),
  • 71', Sahraoui O. , Cabella R. ,
  • 72', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
  • 73', Quenda G. , Araujo M. ,
  • 82', Bakker M. , Gudmundsson G. ,
  • 86', Debast Z. 🟨,
  • 88', Trincao , Harder C. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
64.2%
Draw
21.6%
Lille
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 25.1% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.6% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Lisbon - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.81)
    4.47
    (3.83)
    6.82
    (4.38)
    3.8%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (104 of 120 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.59%92.75%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Sporting is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Kovacevic V. (Ankle Injury) Quaresma E. (Ankle Injury) St. Juste J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Sporting to win the game is with odds 1.64.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    13.09.2024 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    31.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 2:0
    23.08.2024 Farense - Sporting Lisbon 0:5
    17.08.2024 Nacional - Sporting Lisbon 1:6
    09.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 3:1
    Latest results of Lille
    13.09.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0
    28.08.2024 Slavia Prague - Lille 2:1
    24.08.2024 Lille - Angers 2:0
    20.08.2024 Lille - Slavia Prague 2:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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