Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon
Result
0:0
19/02/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
197
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
113
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
514
Offsides
40
Fouls
145
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
1514
Touches in the Opposition Box
289
Passes
90% (542/605)87% (437/505)
Passes in the final third
80% (150/188)67% (56/83)
Crosses
25% (6/24)14% (1/7)
Tackles
70% (16/23)61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
1720
Interceptions
618

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Simoes J. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hjulmand M. ↓, Brito A. ↑,
  • 46', Gittens J. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
  • 56', Biel ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
  • 56', Inacio G. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
  • 59', Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 69', Guirassy S. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
  • 69', Brandt J. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
  • 74', Sabitzer M. 🟨,
  • 84', Quenda G. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
  • 89', Sabitzer M. ↓, Anton W. ↑,
  • 89', Adeyemi K. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
53%		Draw
24.1%		Sporting Lisbon
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 24.4% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 24% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.81 ↓
    (1.9)    		 3.97 ↑
    (3.95)    		 4.19 ↑
    (3.88)    		 4.3%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
    •
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 59 - 72.8%). Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 63.1% – 82.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Sporting have a series of home games.
    • In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (Muscle Injury) Morita H. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) St. Juste J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Mane F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund 0:3
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    15.02.2025 Bochum - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    11.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    29.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    15.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Arouca 2:2 ✺
    11.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    07.02.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺
    02.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Farense 3:1 ✺
    29.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Bologna 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
    Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
    franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
    icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 3
    indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanWowow Prime
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Q Sport
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
    portugalPortugalSport TV5
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin TV Go app
    usaUsaCBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
    venezuelaVenezuelaESPN, Inter
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    worldWorldDisney+
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