Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon
Result
0:0
19/02/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
197
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
113
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
514
Offsides
40
Fouls
145
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
1514
Touches in the Opposition Box
289
Passes
90% (542/605)87% (437/505)
Passes in the final third
80% (150/188)67% (56/83)
Crosses
25% (6/24)14% (1/7)
Tackles
70% (16/23)61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
1720
Interceptions
618

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Simoes J. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hjulmand M. ↓, Brito A. ↑,
  • 46', Gittens J. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
  • 56', Biel ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
  • 56', Inacio G. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
  • 59', Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 69', Guirassy S. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
  • 69', Brandt J. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
  • 74', Sabitzer M. 🟨,
  • 84', Quenda G. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
  • 89', Sabitzer M. ↓, Anton W. ↑,
  • 89', Adeyemi K. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
53%		Draw
24.1%		Sporting Lisbon
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 24.4% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 24% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.81 ↓
    (1.9)    		 3.97 ↑
    (3.95)    		 4.19 ↑
    (3.88)    		 4.3%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
    •
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 59 - 72.8%). Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 63.1% – 82.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Sporting have a series of home games.
    • In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (Muscle Injury) Morita H. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) St. Juste J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Mane F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund 0:3
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    15.02.2025 Bochum - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    11.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    29.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    15.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Arouca 2:2 ✺
    11.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    07.02.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺
    02.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Farense 3:1 ✺
    29.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Bologna 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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